
Volume
$159K
Txns
1,853
Traders
420
Fees
$220
Ends
May 22, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or the Trump administration announces a halt, suspension, cancellation, or prohibition on any arms sales or military equipment transfers to Taiwan between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must specifically refer to the transfer of arms, weapons, munitions, military equipment, or substantially equivalent military goods from the United States to Taiwan. A qualifying announcement may apply to all such transfers to Taiwan or only to specified categories of arms, weapons or military equipment. Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify. Halts, suspensions, cancellations, or prohibitions on arms sales or military equipment transfers announced as part of a mutual agreement or deal between the United States and China will qualify. Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the announced action goes into effect. The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
Will Waymo operate in 8 cities on June 30 2026?
Yes 100%$0volume
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?
No 100%$0volume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Yes 90%$0volume
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Yes 81%$0volume
GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?
No 100%$0volume
Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
No 100%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1mo | 0xeB3183faC6130051CC68ef322E760464dA894ae1-1778662507867 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -1.00 | $1 | |
| 1mo | KimiTalibantonelli | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1.00 | $1 | |
| 1mo | KimiTalibantonelli | Yes / 99.9¢ | +9.99 | $9.98 | |
| 1mo | bitdady | Yes / 99.9¢ | -9.99 | $9.98 | |
| 1mo | KimiTalibantonelli | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 1mo | 0xDeBeB6aE7f428C8326e76fb17314182a6337120D-1777368600649 | No / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1.04 | |
| 1mo | phildubuy | Yes / 99.9¢ | -4.99 | $4.98 | |
| 1mo | KimiTalibantonelli | Yes / 99.9¢ | +4.99 | $4.99 | |
| 1mo | 0x0965...c8ac46 | No / 0.1¢ | +3,330.00 | $3.46 | |
| 1mo | KimiTalibantonelli | Yes / 99.9¢ | +3,330.00 | $3.33K | |
| 1mo | d91f06effb | Yes / 99.9¢ | -1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 1mo | Perypery | No / 0.1¢ | +2,500.00 | $2.5 | |
| 1mo | hasakiiiiii | No / 0.1¢ | +4,487.45 | $4.49 | |
| 1mo | KimiTalibantonelli | Yes / 99.9¢ | +7,987.45 | $7.98K | |
| 1mo | Cronnozzz | No / 0.1¢ | +11.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1mo | NeoOracle | Yes / 99.8¢ | +2,497.07 | $2.49K | |
| 1mo | hasakiiiiii | No / 0.1¢ | +2,674.65 | $2.67 | |
| 1mo | Ordon | Yes / 99.9¢ | +123.40 | $123 | |
| 1mo | looppau | Yes / 99.9¢ | +2,674.65 | $2.67K | |
| 1mo | hasakiiiiii | No / 0.2¢ | +2,381.56 | $4.76 | |
| 1mo | Owwwnn | No / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1mo | Blaorra | No / 0.1¢ | +11.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1mo | Avvnnnn | No / 0.1¢ | +15.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1mo | looppau | Yes / 99.9¢ | +2,671.98 | $2.67K | |
| 1mo | hasakiiiiii | No / 0.1¢ | +2,671.98 | $2.67 |
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