
Volume
$349K
Txns
11,057
Traders
710
Fees
$1,639
Ends
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation into law or performs any executive action that creates, authorizes, or directs a federal government review process for the public release of new artificial intelligence models by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” A qualifying action must create a federal process for reviewing or approving the public release of new artificial intelligence models. A qualifying review process may apply to artificial intelligence models generally, only to models meeting specified criteria (e.g.capability, safety, cybersecurity, national-security, or other risk-based criteria), or to models selected for review at the discretion of the federal government. Legislation or executive actions which create a group or committee responsible for overseeing artificial intelligence matters will only qualify if they explicitly create a qualifying review process. Non-binding statements, proposals, unconfirmed reports, or federal review of artificial intelligence models solely for government procurement or internal government use will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25d | 0x7750F616763150Cd5388ABdD2cE3700b8d7e5226-1776823985775 | No / 99.9¢ | +9.77 | $9.76 | |
| 25d | niglette | No / 99.9¢ | -9.77 | $9.76 | |
| 25d | 0x22B81124Dc1534681ac5b8916C363Fb681638b13-1772202187404 | No / 99.9¢ | -18.22 | $18.2 | |
| 25d | 0x7750F616763150Cd5388ABdD2cE3700b8d7e5226-1776823985775 | No / 99.9¢ | +18.22 | $18.2 | |
| 25d | biggerchad | No / 99.9¢ | -30.00 | $30 | |
| 25d | Trustinghorse | No / 99.9¢ | +30.00 | $30 | |
| 25d | Trustinghorse | No / 99.9¢ | +30.36 | $30.3 | |
| 25d | idl | No / 99.9¢ | -30.36 | $30.3 | |
| 25d | Trustinghorse | No / 99.9¢ | +5.66 | $5.65 | |
| 25d | 0x31b2...401f93 | No / 99.9¢ | -5.66 | $5.65 | |
| 25d | Trustinghorse | No / 99.9¢ | +2,000.00 | $2K | |
| 25d | yen4u | No / 99.9¢ | -2,000.00 | $2K | |
| 25d | beggarrr | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1.04 | |
| 25d | Trustinghorse | No / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 25d | iSteps | No / 99.9¢ | -10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 25d | Trustinghorse | No / 99.9¢ | +10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 25d | Trustinghorse | No / 99.9¢ | +159.99 | $160 | |
| 25d | 0x1E49F80D58872139c5da28320d0A3179F5480424-1782139319766 | No / 99.9¢ | -159.99 | $160 | |
| 25d | Trustinghorse | No / 99.9¢ | +6.09 | $6.08 | |
| 25d | 0xb326b61fa3aEA3B00d02a2deb73D043A37bc43bA-1781973652351 | No / 99.9¢ | -6.09 | $6.08 | |
| 25d | Trustinghorse | No / 99.9¢ | +200.00 | $200 | |
| 25d | efficiencysurround | No / 99.9¢ | -200.00 | $200 | |
| 25d | 0x3C4277a5d899f8319a54D6d6D8430379CA202adC-1778963222969 | No / 99.9¢ | -21.36 | $21.3 | |
| 25d | Trustinghorse | No / 99.9¢ | +21.36 | $21.3 | |
| 25d | Stoniye | No / 99.9¢ | -7.88 | $7.87 |
1–25
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Yes 100%$0volume
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1510 by December…
Yes 100%$0volume
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1520 by December…
No 100%$0volume
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1500 by December…
Yes 100%$0volume
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1490 by December…
Yes 100%$0volume
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1470 by December…
Yes 100%$0volume