
Volume
$17K
Txns
375
Traders
94
Fees
$0
Ends
Oct 31, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and the listed country/entity between October 1, and October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. Agreements to extend tariff exemptions will qualify if announced as an individualized extension. However, tariff exemptions which are announced as part of a class of exemptions and do not reflect individual deals - such as Trump’s April 9 pause on all reciprocal tariffs other than those on China - will not qualify (see: https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/04/modifying-reciprocal-tariff-rates-to-reflect-trading-partner-retaliation-and-alignment/). Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count. Agreements that include the United States and the listed country/entity as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached.
Trades
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
No 76%$34.3Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
No 100%$6.47Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Yes 51%$28.7Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
No 92%$1.95Mvolume
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
No 99%$66.5Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
No 100%$7.97Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +87.36 | $0.09 | |
| 7mo | 0x4018...7dd14a | Yes / 0.1¢ | +6.00 | $0.01 | |
| 7mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +347.00 | $0.35 | |
| 7mo | 0x4018...7dd14a | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 7mo | 0xf03a...ee7a9a | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 7mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +146.00 | $0.15 | |
| 7mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +150.00 | $0.15 | |
| 7mo | 0xf8b7...2114de | Yes / 0.1¢ | +70.00 | $0.07 | |
| 7mo | 0xef2a...99bd7e | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 7mo | 0xe9b4...42f03a | Yes / 0.1¢ | +14.00 | $0.01 | |
| 7mo | 0xe9b4...42f03a | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 7mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +147.00 | $0.15 | |
| 7mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +341.00 | $0.34 | |
| 7mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +337.00 | $0.34 | |
| 7mo | 0x161f...28b075 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 7mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +201.00 | $0.2 | |
| 7mo | wubddh | No / 99.9¢ | +3,005.36 | $3K | |
| 7mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +146.00 | $0.15 | |
| 7mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +186.00 | $0.19 | |
| 7mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +146.00 | $0.15 | |
| 7mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +343.00 | $0.34 | |
| 7mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +157.00 | $0.16 | |
| 7mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +156.00 | $0.16 | |
| 7mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +88.64 | $0.09 | |
| 7mo | 0xf8b7...2114de | Yes / 0.1¢ | +11.46 | $0.01 |
1–25