
Volume
$66K
Txns
1,110
Traders
193
Fees
$0
Ends
Aug 31, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and the listed country/entity between August 4, and August 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. Agreements to extend tariff exemptions will qualify if announced as an individualized extension. However, tariff exemptions which are announced as part of a class of exemptions and do not reflect individual deals - such as Trump’s April 9 pause on all reciprocal tariffs other than those on China - will not qualify (see: https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/04/modifying-reciprocal-tariff-rates-to-reflect-trading-partner-retaliation-and-alignment/). Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count. Agreements that include the United States and the listed country/entity as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached.
Trades
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
No 87%$36.6Mvolume
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
Yes 100%$11.1Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
No 94%$3.25Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
No 62%$29.6Mvolume
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
No 99%$66.8Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
No 100%$7.16Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9mo | Friday | Yes / 0.1¢ | -15.15 | $0.02 | |
| 9mo | Kijap | No / 99.9¢ | -15.15 | $15.1 | |
| 9mo | StardewValley | No / 99.9¢ | -79.14 | $79.1 | |
| 9mo | Friday | Yes / 0.1¢ | -79.14 | $0.08 | |
| 9mo | Friday | Yes / 0.1¢ | -30.00 | $0.03 | |
| 9mo | g.se...x | No / 99.9¢ | -30.00 | $30 | |
| 9mo | 0x74a292 | No / 97.4¢ | +43.52 | $42.4 | |
| 9mo | Heldenkampf | No / 97.4¢ | -100.00 | $97.4 | |
| 9mo | 0x6b0e...46e3ea | Yes / 2.6¢ | -56.48 | $1.47 | |
| 9mo | Heldenkampf | No / 98.0¢ | -150.00 | $147 | |
| 9mo | gdyhv | No / 98.0¢ | +150.00 | $147 | |
| 9mo | g.se...x | No / 98.7¢ | +27.90 | $27.5 | |
| 9mo | Heldenkampf | No / 98.7¢ | -27.90 | $27.5 | |
| 9mo | StardewValley | No / 98.8¢ | +9.00 | $8.89 | |
| 9mo | Heldenkampf | No / 98.8¢ | -9.00 | $8.89 | |
| 9mo | pootytherewardfarmer | Yes / 0.1¢ | +105.00 | $0.1 | |
| 9mo | gdyhv | No / 99.9¢ | -77.00 | $76.9 | |
| 9mo | 0x74a292 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +67.35 | $0.07 | |
| 9mo | wubddh | No / 99.9¢ | +299.35 | $299 | |
| 9mo | gdyhv | No / 99.9¢ | -50.00 | $50 | |
| 9mo | wubddh | No / 99.8¢ | +10.00 | $9.98 | |
| 9mo | john.freak | No / 99.8¢ | -10.00 | $9.98 | |
| 9mo | Frieren68 | No / 99.3¢ | -42.64 | $42.3 | |
| 9mo | 0x74a292 | Yes / 0.7¢ | -32.64 | $0.23 | |
| 9mo | john.freak | No / 99.2¢ | +10.00 | $9.92 |
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