
Volume
$9K
Txns
268
Traders
62
Fees
$0
Ends
Sep 30, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and the listed country/entity between September 1, and September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. Agreements to extend tariff exemptions will qualify if announced as an individualized extension. However, tariff exemptions which are announced as part of a class of exemptions and do not reflect individual deals - such as Trump’s April 9 pause on all reciprocal tariffs other than those on China - will not qualify (see: https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/04/modifying-reciprocal-tariff-rates-to-reflect-trading-partner-retaliation-and-alignment/). Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count. Agreements that include the United States and the listed country/entity as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached.
Trades
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
No 88%$36.6Mvolume
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
Yes 100%$11.1Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
No 94%$3.25Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
No 61%$29.6Mvolume
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
No 99%$66.8Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
No 100%$7.16Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8mo | oggogogo008 | No / 99.9¢ | -2.98 | $2.98 | |
| 8mo | Tomdnc | No / 99.9¢ | +2.98 | $2.98 | |
| 8mo | burnurbackyard | No / 99.9¢ | +10.01 | $10 | |
| 8mo | Lkens | No / 99.9¢ | -7.00 | $6.99 | |
| 8mo | oggogogo008 | No / 99.9¢ | -3.01 | $3.01 | |
| 8mo | 0xea1e...bfb7d5 | No / 95.8¢ | -1.55 | $1.48 | |
| 8mo | belka.game | No / 95.8¢ | +1.55 | $1.48 | |
| 8mo | DooBieZ | Yes / 0.2¢ | -76.53 | $0.15 | |
| 8mo | Shekel | Yes / 0.2¢ | +76.53 | $0.15 | |
| 8mo | metapepe | Yes / 0.4¢ | -191.53 | $0.7 | |
| 8mo | Shekel | Yes / 0.5¢ | +100.00 | $0.5 | |
| 8mo | DooBieZ | Yes / 0.1¢ | +76.53 | $0.08 | |
| 8mo | pinniethewooh | Yes / 0.5¢ | +5.00 | $0.03 | |
| 8mo | neverfeesplease | No / 99.0¢ | -10.00 | $9.9 | |
| 8mo | Frosen | No / 98.2¢ | +125.99 | $124 | |
| 8mo | 0x74a292 | No / 98.2¢ | -50.00 | $49.1 | |
| 8mo | belka.game | No / 98.1¢ | -24.99 | $24.5 | |
| 8mo | LBZero | Yes / 1.7¢ | +51.00 | $0.87 | |
| 8mo | oggogogo008 | No / 96.4¢ | +6.00 | $5.78 | |
| 8mo | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 96.6¢ | +200.00 | $193 | |
| 8mo | paddaa | No / 96.7¢ | -553.31 | $535 | |
| 8mo | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 97.1¢ | +200.00 | $194 | |
| 8mo | ImJustKen | No / 92.0¢ | +21.31 | $19.6 | |
| 8mo | neverfeesplease | No / 97.0¢ | +10.00 | $9.7 | |
| 8mo | belka.game | No / 97.2¢ | +25.00 | $24.3 |
1–25