
Volume
$492K
Txns
1,547
Traders
254
Fees
$0
Ends
Nov 30, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and the listed country/entity by November 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. Agreements to extend tariff exemptions will qualify if announced as an individualized extension. However, tariff exemptions which are announced as part of a class of exemptions and do not reflect individual deals - such as Trump’s April 9 pause on all reciprocal tariffs other than those on China - will not qualify (see: https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/04/modifying-reciprocal-tariff-rates-to-reflect-trading-partner-retaliation-and-alignment/). Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count. Agreements that include the United States and the listed country/entity as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached.
Trades
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
No 76%$34.4Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
No 100%$6.47Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
No 95%$2.09Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
No 51%$28.8Mvolume
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
No 99%$66.5Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
No 100%$7.98Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6mo | 033033033 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +10,798.99 | $10.8K | |
| 6mo | 033033033 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +19,201.01 | $19.2K | |
| 6mo | 0x098f...6becb1 | No / 0.1¢ | +30,000.00 | $30 | |
| 6mo | 033033033 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +3,000.00 | $3K | |
| 6mo | Ayeetop | No / 0.1¢ | +3,000.00 | $3 | |
| 6mo | nhbduy | No / 0.1¢ | +10,000.00 | $10 | |
| 6mo | 033033033 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +10,000.00 | $9.99K | |
| 6mo | 0xe0266F2D1f04eeE0DEeF81296fB0743c03585882-1763938762250 | No / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 6mo | 033033033 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 6mo | MagicCabelo | Yes / 99.9¢ | -201.01 | $201 | |
| 6mo | 033033033 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +201.01 | $201 | |
| 6mo | Ahpo | Yes / 99.9¢ | +100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 6mo | wr3 | No / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 6mo | 033033033 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +12.33 | $12.3 | |
| 6mo | 0x9045...28321a | Yes / 99.9¢ | -12.33 | $12.3 | |
| 6mo | 033033033 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 6mo | dwang65 | No / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 6mo | klevol76 | No / 0.1¢ | +1,110.00 | $1.11 | |
| 6mo | 033033033 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,110.00 | $1.11K | |
| 6mo | 0bscure | No / 0.1¢ | +1,070.00 | $1.07 | |
| 6mo | 033033033 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,070.00 | $1.07K | |
| 6mo | 033033033 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,793.00 | $1.79K | |
| 6mo | oidocrop | Yes / 99.9¢ | +10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 6mo | Zennith | No / 0.1¢ | +1,803.00 | $1.8 | |
| 6mo | NecroGamba | No / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 |
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