
Volume
$14K
Txns
298
Traders
60
Fees
$0
Ends
Sep 30, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and the listed country/entity between September 1, and September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. Agreements to extend tariff exemptions will qualify if announced as an individualized extension. However, tariff exemptions which are announced as part of a class of exemptions and do not reflect individual deals - such as Trump’s April 9 pause on all reciprocal tariffs other than those on China - will not qualify (see: https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/04/modifying-reciprocal-tariff-rates-to-reflect-trading-partner-retaliation-and-alignment/). Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count. Agreements that include the United States and the listed country/entity as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached.
Trades
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
No 85%$30.3Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
No 99%$6.01Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
No 59%$27.4Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 83%$20.9Mvolume
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
Yes 100%$5.99Mvolume
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Yes 53%$8.22Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8mo | Tomdnc | No / 99.9¢ | +150.96 | $151 | |
| 8mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +11.00 | $0.01 | |
| 8mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +6.00 | $0.01 | |
| 8mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +37.00 | $0.04 | |
| 8mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +8.96 | $0.01 | |
| 8mo | LBZero | Yes / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 8mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +25.00 | $0.03 | |
| 8mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +13.00 | $0.01 | |
| 8mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.97 | $0.01 | |
| 8mo | burnurbackyard | No / 99.9¢ | +10.01 | $10 | |
| 8mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +4.04 | $0 | |
| 8mo | daroghi | Yes / 0.2¢ | +1.00 | $0 | |
| 8mo | cbc9908 | No / 99.8¢ | +1.00 | $1 | |
| 8mo | pinniethewooh | Yes / 0.5¢ | -6.81 | $0.03 | |
| 8mo | Xinhua-News | No / 99.3¢ | -55.14 | $54.8 | |
| 8mo | LBZero | No / 99.3¢ | +48.33 | $48 | |
| 8mo | oggogogo008 | No / 99.9¢ | -6.00 | $5.99 | |
| 8mo | Lkens | No / 99.9¢ | -7.00 | $6.99 | |
| 8mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +8.00 | $0.01 | |
| 8mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +14.03 | $0.01 | |
| 8mo | vinetu | No / 99.9¢ | +35.03 | $35 | |
| 8mo | pinniethewooh | Yes / 0.5¢ | -3.19 | $0.02 | |
| 8mo | Galucucu | No / 99.5¢ | -3.19 | $3.17 | |
| 8mo | pinniethewooh | Yes / 0.4¢ | +5.00 | $0.02 | |
| 8mo | josephstalinthethird | No / 99.6¢ | +5.00 | $4.98 |
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