
Volume
$54K
Txns
606
Traders
131
Fees
$0
Ends
Nov 30, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and the listed country/entity by November 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. Agreements to extend tariff exemptions will qualify if announced as an individualized extension. However, tariff exemptions which are announced as part of a class of exemptions and do not reflect individual deals - such as Trump’s April 9 pause on all reciprocal tariffs other than those on China - will not qualify (see: https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/04/modifying-reciprocal-tariff-rates-to-reflect-trading-partner-retaliation-and-alignment/). Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count. Agreements that include the United States and the listed country/entity as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached.
Trades
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
No 76%$34.4Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
No 100%$6.47Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
No 95%$2.09Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
No 51%$28.8Mvolume
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
No 99%$66.5Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
No 100%$7.98Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7mo | AllByMyseIf | Yes / 99.8¢ | +500.00 | $499 | |
| 7mo | Simon4s | No / 0.2¢ | +500.00 | $1 | |
| 7mo | Shekel | No / 0.4¢ | -5.00 | $0.02 | |
| 7mo | BigHeart001 | No / 0.4¢ | +250.00 | $1 | |
| 7mo | Shekel | No / 0.4¢ | -245.00 | $0.98 | |
| 7mo | bamesjond | Yes / 99.9¢ | +846.81 | $846 | |
| 7mo | Shekel | No / 0.1¢ | +846.81 | $0.85 | |
| 7mo | bamesjond | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 7mo | apocalypseblooms | No / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 7mo | bamesjond | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 7mo | nicoco89 | No / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 7mo | roundtripped | No / 0.1¢ | +2,000.00 | $2 | |
| 7mo | bamesjond | Yes / 99.9¢ | +2,000.00 | $2K | |
| 7mo | bamesjond | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 7mo | Shekel | No / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 7mo | apocalypseblooms | No / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 7mo | bamesjond | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 7mo | 0x6993...08c79a | No / 0.1¢ | +555.00 | $0.56 | |
| 7mo | bamesjond | Yes / 99.9¢ | +555.00 | $554 | |
| 7mo | ProThonker | Yes / 99.9¢ | +60.26 | $60.2 | |
| 7mo | outcomes | No / 0.1¢ | +60.26 | $0.06 | |
| 7mo | MrBeast-752 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +695.00 | $694 | |
| 7mo | outcomes | No / 0.1¢ | +695.00 | $0.69 | |
| 7mo | 0x6993...08c79a | No / 0.5¢ | -550.00 | $2.75 | |
| 7mo | Esme-00 | No / 0.8¢ | +1,221.39 | $9.44 |
1–25