Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?
ActiveVolume
$1K
Txns
90
Traders
44
Fees
$0
Liquidity
$1,260
Volume
$1K
Txns
90
Traders
44
Fees
$0
Liquidity
$1,260
Ends
May 24, 2026
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between May 18, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and May 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used. This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2h | asdasdasdwow123 | No / 99.2¢ | +8.00 | $7.94 | |
| 2h | Hawka09 | No / 99.2¢ | +2.00 | $1.98 | |
| 2h | weatherlover21 | Yes / 0.8¢ | +8.00 | $0.06 | |
| 2h | weatherlover21 | Yes / 0.8¢ | +2.00 | $0.02 | |
| 2h | aHjCz | Yes / 0.8¢ | +1.10 | $0.01 | |
| 2h | cwc909 | Yes / 0.8¢ | -1.10 | $0.01 | |
| 2h | cwc909 | Yes / 0.8¢ | -2.54 | $0.02 | |
| 2h | aHjCz | Yes / 0.8¢ | +2.54 | $0.02 | |
| 23h | vitalikbt | Yes / 0.9¢ | +3.22 | $0.03 | |
| 23h | DkOYL | No / 99.1¢ | +3.22 | $3.19 | |
| 1d | vitalikbt | Yes / 0.9¢ | +1.78 | $0.02 | |
| 1d | northdrawer | Yes / 0.9¢ | -1.78 | $0.02 | |
| 1d | flexer78 | Yes / 0.5¢ | -77.62 | $0.39 | |
| 1d | Nottooserious | Yes / 0.2¢ | -50.00 | $0.1 | |
| 1d | paoloakap1 | Yes / 0.4¢ | +272.09 | $1.05 | |
| 1d | 8.... | Yes / 0.4¢ | -122.47 | $0.49 | |
| 1d | feiyuce | No / 99.9¢ | +22.00 | $22 | |
| 1d | feiyuce | No / 99.9¢ | +1.00 | $1 | |
| 1d | 0xb651Aa3416DE544270dbe0DC96E79Aef428D82E5-1778953614238 | No / 99.9¢ | -1.00 | $1 | |
| 1d | feiyuce | No / 99.9¢ | +0.15 | $0.15 | |
| 1d | ypineault | No / 99.9¢ | -0.15 | $0.15 | |
| 2d | megadarkparticle | Yes / 0.1¢ | +76.85 | $0.08 | |
| 2d | feiyuce | No / 99.9¢ | +76.85 | $76.8 | |
| 2d | 0xb651Aa3416DE544270dbe0DC96E79Aef428D82E5-1778953614238 | No / 99.9¢ | +1.00 | $1 | |
| 2d | megadarkparticle | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1.00 | $0 |
1–25
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?
Yes 57%$483Kvolume
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?
No 58%$13.4Kvolume
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?
No 89%$10.4Kvolume
Will there be 3 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?
No 100%$11.3Kvolume
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?
No 99%$3.48Kvolume
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?
No 65%$263Kvolume