
Volume
$725
Txns
90
Traders
38
Fees
$0
Liquidity
$404
Ends
May 31, 2026
This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during May 2026, Pyongyang Time. If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began. Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify. Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify. Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
Trades
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
No 100%$16Mvolume
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?
No 84%$1.14Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
No 98%$13.3Mvolume
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
No 98%$19.6Mvolume
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
No 63%$1.8Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
No 92%$12.6Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7h | anciente | No / 58.0¢ | +5.00 | $2.9 | |
| 7h | 0xec51439e69db53363a4cb9c53710568efc3ae4e | Yes / 42.0¢ | +5.00 | $2.1 | |
| 2d | plainfolder | No / 54.0¢ | +19.00 | $10.3 | |
| 2d | AJSV | Yes / 46.0¢ | +19.00 | $8.74 | |
| 3d | Kennethnews | Yes / 76.0¢ | -6.00 | $4.56 | |
| 3d | 0xec51439e69db53363a4cb9c53710568efc3ae4e | Yes / 37.0¢ | +6.00 | $2.22 | |
| 3d | anciente | Yes / 76.0¢ | +6.00 | $4.56 | |
| 3d | anciente | No / 63.0¢ | +6.00 | $3.78 | |
| 5d | AJSV | No / 54.0¢ | +39.88 | $21.5 | |
| 5d | dumbfuqLIQUIDITYprovider | Yes / 47.1¢ | +156.04 | $73.6 | |
| 5d | Oklmntrader | Yes / 49.0¢ | -31.46 | $15.4 | |
| 5d | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes / 47.0¢ | -84.70 | $39.8 | |
| 9d | 0x258b...d4db84 | Yes / 33.0¢ | -1.81 | $0.6 | |
| 9d | Kennethnews | Yes / 33.0¢ | +1.81 | $0.6 | |
| 10d | AJSV | No / 51.0¢ | +5.00 | $2.55 | |
| 10d | adfadfadfgf | Yes / 49.0¢ | +5.00 | $2.45 | |
| 10d | Compound-57 | No / 49.0¢ | -43.47 | $21.3 | |
| 10d | ultralisk | No / 49.0¢ | +23.47 | $11.5 | |
| 10d | testinprod85 | Yes / 51.0¢ | -20.00 | $10.2 | |
| 11d | Oklmntrader | Yes / 55.0¢ | -1.82 | $1 | |
| 11d | 0x258b...d4db84 | Yes / 55.0¢ | +1.82 | $1 | |
| 11d | Oklmntrader | Yes / 55.0¢ | -2.17 | $1.19 | |
| 11d | 0x258b...d4db84 | No / 45.0¢ | -2.17 | $0.98 | |
| 11d | toritocavenaghi | No / 45.0¢ | -20.00 | $9 | |
| 11d | Oklmntrader | Yes / 55.0¢ | -20.00 | $11 |
1–25