Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?
ActiveVolume
$2K
Txns
57
Traders
33
Fees
$1
Liquidity
$2,010
Volume
$2K
Txns
57
Traders
33
Fees
$1
Liquidity
$2,010
Ends
May 17, 2026
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between May 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used. This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11h | Zander46 | No / 99.9¢ | +500.50 | $500 | |
| 11h | flexer78 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +500.50 | $0.5 | |
| 11h | TENETENET | Yes / 0.1¢ | +86.15 | $0.09 | |
| 11h | wwder | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 11h | triklozoid | Yes / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 11h | Aaron535 | No / 99.9¢ | +620.62 | $620 | |
| 11h | flexer78 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +479.47 | $0.48 | |
| 11h | Aaron537 | No / 99.6¢ | +502.16 | $500 | |
| 11h | Ludwig14 | Yes / 0.6¢ | +15.07 | $0.09 | |
| 11h | Haradwaith | Yes / 0.3¢ | +28.94 | $0.09 | |
| 11h | Ludwig14 | Yes / 0.4¢ | +18.41 | $0.07 | |
| 11h | flexer78 | Yes / 0.8¢ | +124.99 | $1 | |
| 11h | 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44. | Yes / 0.5¢ | +100.00 | $0.5 | |
| 11h | Ludwig14 | Yes / 0.2¢ | +18.66 | $0.04 | |
| 11h | Ludwig14 | Yes / 0.3¢ | +12.37 | $0.04 | |
| 11h | TENETENET | Yes / 0.1¢ | +13.85 | $0.01 | |
| 11h | Nottooserious | Yes / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 11h | ultralisk | Yes / 0.2¢ | +112.00 | $0.22 | |
| 11h | Ludwig14 | Yes / 0.6¢ | +7.87 | $0.05 | |
| 12h | ScissorsDefense | Yes / 2.3¢ | -67.31 | $1.55 | |
| 12h | feiyuce | No / 97.5¢ | +46.24 | $45.1 | |
| 12h | Ludwig14 | Yes / 2.0¢ | -9.51 | $0.19 | |
| 12h | flexer78 | Yes / 2.1¢ | -5.03 | $0.11 | |
| 12h | Niromero | Yes / 2.3¢ | +128.09 | $3.15 | |
| 12h | 0xF4fE4AeeA49C54aA73Ec946ab2Eebd02eE42F6E7-1757776368556 | No / 99.4¢ | +5.03 | $5 |
1–25
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?
No 83%$6.25Kvolume
Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?
No 86%$4.62Kvolume
Will there be 3 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?
No 94%$5.19Kvolume
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?
Yes 55%$11.9Kvolume
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
No 94%$798Kvolume
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by May 30, 2026?
No 53%$7.54Kvolume