Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?
ActiveVolume
$512
Txns
63
Traders
31
Fees
$1
Liquidity
$1,433
Volume
$512
Txns
63
Traders
31
Fees
$1
Liquidity
$1,433
Ends
May 17, 2026
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between May 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used. This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3h | dpnd | Yes / 1.0¢ | +28.88 | $0.29 | |
| 3h | vincentvangoofy | No / 99.0¢ | +28.88 | $28.6 | |
| 5h | flexer78 | Yes / 0.9¢ | -6.59 | $0.06 | |
| 5h | dpnd | Yes / 0.9¢ | +6.59 | $0.06 | |
| 5h | 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44. | Yes / 0.8¢ | +10.00 | $0.08 | |
| 5h | Mohel | No / 99.2¢ | +10.00 | $9.92 | |
| 5h | TWtXkEBBD5FUWsQPi | No / 99.1¢ | +4.54 | $4.5 | |
| 5h | dpnd | Yes / 0.9¢ | +4.54 | $0.04 | |
| 5h | c9cU6UQxoCKP9vPew | No / 99.1¢ | +4.17 | $4.13 | |
| 5h | AG7IL6KbdCRYcFidb | No / 99.1¢ | +4.17 | $4.13 | |
| 5h | dpnd | Yes / 0.9¢ | +4.17 | $0.04 | |
| 5h | dpnd | Yes / 0.9¢ | +4.17 | $0.04 | |
| 5h | rIGzW0pWtefnjJiFf | No / 99.0¢ | +6.60 | $6.54 | |
| 5h | flexer78 | Yes / 1.0¢ | +6.60 | $0.07 | |
| 11h | dpnd | Yes / 0.9¢ | +90.82 | $0.82 | |
| 11h | 04yxy52004 | No / 99.1¢ | +90.82 | $90 | |
| 1d | 0xF4fE4AeeA49C54aA73Ec946ab2Eebd02eE42F6E7-1757776368556 | No / 98.8¢ | +5.06 | $5 | |
| 1d | Mojito9 | Yes / 1.2¢ | +5.06 | $0.06 | |
| 1d | 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44. | Yes / 2.2¢ | -10.05 | $0.22 | |
| 1d | Niromero | Yes / 2.7¢ | +111.68 | $3.15 | |
| 1d | 0xc8A5Fb6E9e78Cc63Ec344D85fed665f8EaC382bD-1773664201494 | No / 97.2¢ | +92.11 | $89.5 | |
| 1d | Ludwig14 | Yes / 2.1¢ | -9.52 | $0.2 | |
| 1d | Mojito9 | Yes / 0.8¢ | -10.00 | $0.08 | |
| 1d | dpnd | Yes / 0.8¢ | +10.00 | $0.08 | |
| 1d | 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44. | Yes / 0.5¢ | +5.03 | $0.03 |
1–25
Will there be 3 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?
No 79%$7.31Kvolume
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
No 97%$176Kvolume
Will there be 5 or more confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?
No 100%$452Kvolume
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
No 95%$799Kvolume
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?
No 84%$6.95Kvolume
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?
Yes 55%$12Kvolume