Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?
ActiveVolume
$454
Txns
57
Traders
21
Fees
$2
Liquidity
$526
Volume
$454
Txns
57
Traders
21
Fees
$2
Liquidity
$526
Ends
May 10, 2026
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between May 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and May 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used. This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5h | dpnd | Yes / 10.0¢ | +13.00 | $1.3 | |
| 5h | products | No / 90.4¢ | +12.94 | $11.7 | |
| 5h | dpnd | Yes / 10.0¢ | +42.00 | $4.2 | |
| 5h | Novus0rdoSeclorum | No / 90.4¢ | +41.81 | $37.8 | |
| 5h | dpnd | Yes / 10.0¢ | +8.00 | $0.8 | |
| 5h | melchior1248 | No / 90.4¢ | +7.96 | $7.2 | |
| 5h | dpnd | Yes / 10.0¢ | +39.00 | $3.9 | |
| 5h | products | No / 90.4¢ | +38.82 | $35.1 | |
| 8h | hanshass | Yes / 9.0¢ | +9.89 | $0.89 | |
| 8h | melchior1248 | No / 91.4¢ | +9.85 | $9 | |
| 8h | dpnd | Yes / 10.0¢ | +16.00 | $1.6 | |
| 8h | hanshass | Yes / 9.0¢ | +14.00 | $1.26 | |
| 8h | od827394 | No / 90.9¢ | +29.87 | $27.1 | |
| 9h | dpnd | Yes / 10.0¢ | +31.00 | $3.1 | |
| 9h | hanshass | Yes / 9.0¢ | +18.79 | $1.69 | |
| 9h | 0xf7a61a1379953Ee3387f94c346b2B675567AAEd7-1773485784113 | No / 90.8¢ | +49.57 | $45 | |
| 10h | dpnd | Yes / 10.0¢ | +11.00 | $1.1 | |
| 10h | products | No / 90.4¢ | +10.95 | $9.9 | |
| 15h | hanshass | Yes / 10.0¢ | +2.22 | $0.22 | |
| 15h | Frosty2 | No / 90.4¢ | +2.21 | $2 | |
| 18h | dpnd | Yes / 11.0¢ | +41.00 | $4.51 | |
| 18h | varch01 | No / 89.4¢ | +40.80 | $36.5 | |
| 1d | dpnd | Yes / 11.0¢ | +5.00 | $0.55 | |
| 1d | climatehuimat | No / 89.4¢ | +4.98 | $4.45 | |
| 1d | dpnd | Yes / 16.0¢ | +9.00 | $1.44 |
1–25
Will there be 3 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?
No 98% · $4.91K volume
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?
No 53% · $5.9K volume
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?
Yes 56% · $2.32K volume
Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?
No 91% · $1.29K volume
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?
No 99% · $1.51K volume
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
No 95% · $783K volume