
Volume
$12K
Txns
1,027
Traders
204
Fees
$0
Ends
Jan 18, 2026
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between January 12, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and January 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until January 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used. This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6mo | yzhaobk | No / 99.9¢ | +5.97 | $5.96 | |
| 6mo | hall.in.ass | No / 99.9¢ | -5.97 | $5.96 | |
| 6mo | hall.in.ass | No / 99.9¢ | -22.00 | $22 | |
| 6mo | bughlaji | Yes / 0.1¢ | -22.00 | $0.02 | |
| 6mo | yzhaobk | No / 98.1¢ | +8.06 | $7.91 | |
| 6mo | hall.in.ass | No / 95.9¢ | +27.97 | $26.8 | |
| 6mo | 0x3C5994426Cbce066ECa8f7968bCa4F7DD0E15d98-1768677062582 | Yes / 3.6¢ | +36.03 | $1.3 | |
| 6mo | 0xe9b4...42f03a | Yes / 0.1¢ | +74.85 | $0.07 | |
| 6mo | 0x161f...28b075 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +88.00 | $0.09 | |
| 6mo | 0xef2a...99bd7e | Yes / 0.1¢ | +90.40 | $0.09 | |
| 6mo | kboss | No / 99.9¢ | +253.25 | $253 | |
| 6mo | DezeJongen | Yes / 0.2¢ | -52.66 | $0.09 | |
| 6mo | 0xef2a...99bd7e | Yes / 0.1¢ | +14.60 | $0.01 | |
| 6mo | hall.in.ass | No / 99.8¢ | -38.06 | $38 | |
| 6mo | yzhaobk | No / 99.8¢ | +1.94 | $1.94 | |
| 6mo | hall.in.ass | No / 99.8¢ | -1.94 | $1.94 | |
| 6mo | hall.in.ass | No / 99.8¢ | -10.00 | $9.98 | |
| 6mo | yzhaobk | No / 99.8¢ | +10.00 | $9.98 | |
| 6mo | balthazar | No / 92.0¢ | -50.00 | $46 | |
| 6mo | hall.in.ass | No / 92.0¢ | +50.00 | $46 | |
| 6mo | yzhaobk | No / 99.9¢ | +8.00 | $7.99 | |
| 6mo | 0xef2a...99bd7e | Yes / 0.1¢ | +8.00 | $0.01 | |
| 6mo | hall.in.ass | No / 99.8¢ | -20.00 | $20 | |
| 6mo | influenz.eth | No / 99.9¢ | +59.50 | $59.4 | |
| 6mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +54.08 | $0.05 |
1–25
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
No 97%$0volume
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C or below on July 30?
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Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 30?
No 100%$0volume
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 30?
Yes 100%$0volume
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 30?
Yes 100%$0volume
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 30?
Yes 100%$0volume