
Volume
$431
Txns
47
Traders
24
Fees
$3
Liquidity
$444
Ends
May 10, 2026
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between May 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and May 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used. This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | didot | Yes / 52.0¢ | +10.00 | $5.2 | |
| 1h | MohammedEsposito | No / 48.6¢ | +9.88 | $4.8 | |
| 1h | AJSV | Yes / 54.0¢ | +68.22 | $36.8 | |
| 1h | MohammedEsposito | No / 46.6¢ | +67.37 | $31.4 | |
| 2h | Mojito9 | Yes / 55.0¢ | +10.00 | $5.5 | |
| 2h | MohammedEsposito | No / 45.6¢ | +9.88 | $4.5 | |
| 2h | didot | Yes / 52.0¢ | +10.00 | $5.2 | |
| 2h | SpudFace | No / 48.6¢ | +9.88 | $4.8 | |
| 9h | AJSV | No / 42.0¢ | +3.60 | $1.51 | |
| 9h | ScissorsDefense | No / 40.8¢ | -3.60 | $1.47 | |
| 13h | SameShirtDifferentDay | No / 50.0¢ | +10.00 | $5 | |
| 13h | ScissorsDefense | No / 48.8¢ | -10.00 | $4.88 | |
| 15h | AJSV | Yes / 52.0¢ | +11.35 | $5.9 | |
| 15h | Gazo0 | No / 48.6¢ | +11.21 | $5.45 | |
| 15h | winexecutescale | Yes / 52.0¢ | +11.02 | $5.73 | |
| 15h | Gazo0 | Yes / 50.8¢ | -11.02 | $5.59 | |
| 15h | AJSV | No / 33.0¢ | +11.03 | $3.64 | |
| 15h | Gazo0 | Yes / 67.7¢ | +10.91 | $7.39 | |
| 16h | AJSV | Yes / 55.0¢ | +11.00 | $6.05 | |
| 16h | justagrosshopper | No / 45.6¢ | +10.86 | $4.95 | |
| 23h | ScissorsDefense | No / 54.0¢ | -5.00 | $2.7 | |
| 23h | DkOYL | No / 54.7¢ | +4.94 | $2.7 | |
| 1d | AJSV | No / 53.0¢ | +30.00 | $15.9 | |
| 1d | JordanMooney | No / 51.8¢ | -30.00 | $15.5 | |
| 1d | melchior1248 | No / 52.0¢ | +10.00 | $5.2 |
1–25
Will there be 3 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?
Yes 56% · $15.5K volume
Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?
No 91% · $3.7K volume
Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?
No 96% · $4.34K volume
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?
No 99% · $4.27K volume
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?
No 66% · $3.63K volume
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?
No 99% · $9.73K volume