
Volume
$468K
Txns
6,381
Traders
785
Fees
$8
Ends
May 31, 2026
This market will resolve according to the 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz that IMF Portwatch reports for May 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered. This market will resolve as soon as data for the specified date has been published. If no data for the specified date has been published by June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on data for the most recent date prior to May 31, 2026, for which data is available. This market will resolve based on the first publication of data for May 31, 2026. Any subsequent revisions will not be considered. The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
Trades
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Yes 100%$78.4Mvolume
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
Yes 100%$8.1Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
No 100%$15.4Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Yes 100%$39.2Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Yes 100%$11Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
No 100%$5.58Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | damwalking | Yes / 99.9¢ | -31.06 | $31 | |
| 14d | triklozoid | No / 0.1¢ | -31.06 | $0.03 | |
| 14d | uraw | Yes / 95.9¢ | -119.04 | $114 | |
| 14d | triklozoid | No / 0.1¢ | -18.94 | $0.02 | |
| 14d | OraculumNobius | Yes / 99.9¢ | +100.10 | $100 | |
| 14d | steadyballin | No / 0.1¢ | -873.00 | $0.87 | |
| 14d | 0x56a8...6deea2 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -23.00 | $23 | |
| 14d | attackrelease | No / 0.1¢ | +850.00 | $0.85 | |
| 14d | title1 | No / 0.1¢ | -50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 14d | xen10086 | No / 0.1¢ | +49.00 | $0.05 | |
| 14d | 0xbd3c...09fc78 | No / 0.1¢ | +1.00 | $0 | |
| 14d | bnmsq | Yes / 99.8¢ | -10.00 | $9.98 | |
| 14d | 0xf243 | Yes / 99.8¢ | +5.00 | $4.99 | |
| 14d | dex52 | Yes / 99.8¢ | +5.00 | $4.99 | |
| 14d | xen10086 | No / 0.1¢ | +1.00 | $0 | |
| 14d | asdssss | No / 0.1¢ | -1.00 | $0 | |
| 14d | BreadWinnerE | Yes / 99.8¢ | -12.00 | $12 | |
| 14d | asdssss | No / 0.2¢ | -12.00 | $0.02 | |
| 14d | asdssss | No / 0.2¢ | -14.50 | $0.03 | |
| 14d | 0xdcd6...59ce91 | Yes / 99.7¢ | -31.74 | $31.7 | |
| 14d | GCNO1 | No / 0.3¢ | -17.24 | $0.05 | |
| 14d | asdssss | No / 0.4¢ | -12.00 | $0.05 | |
| 14d | graceadams | Yes / 99.6¢ | -12.00 | $12 | |
| 14d | InvierteConSeb | No / 0.5¢ | -40.31 | $0.2 | |
| 14d | cubandave29 | Yes / 99.5¢ | -40.31 | $40.1 |
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