
Volume
$4M
Txns
24,269
Traders
2,937
Fees
$0
Ends
Mar 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law. The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
No 100%$38.7Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?
No 100%$4.97Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
No 100%$16.1Mvolume
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
No 100%$1.51Mvolume
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?
No 83%$1.14Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
No 99%$13.4Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1mo | 0x7429...3d0a8a | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 1mo | bobe2 | No / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 1mo | bobe2 | No / 99.9¢ | +5.05 | $5.04 | |
| 1mo | alltrueist | No / 99.9¢ | -5.05 | $5.04 | |
| 1mo | 0x8A2A316518155AeBEbC71d172fe7c011C8C8420A-1769064433529 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +39,000.00 | $39 | |
| 1mo | bobe2 | No / 99.9¢ | +39,000.00 | $39K | |
| 1mo | 0xe1e5...7b35a4 | No / 99.9¢ | -9.21 | $9.2 | |
| 1mo | bobe2 | No / 99.9¢ | +9.21 | $9.2 | |
| 1mo | bobe2 | No / 99.9¢ | +114.00 | $114 | |
| 1mo | 0x1234...08c1bb | No / 99.9¢ | -114.00 | $114 | |
| 1mo | bobe2 | No / 99.9¢ | +17.35 | $17.3 | |
| 1mo | bojackson | No / 99.9¢ | -17.35 | $17.3 | |
| 1mo | Hejdejakob | No / 99.9¢ | -1.00 | $1 | |
| 1mo | bobe2 | No / 99.9¢ | +1.00 | $1 | |
| 1mo | bobe2 | No / 99.9¢ | +114.23 | $114 | |
| 1mo | 0x1234...08c1bb | No / 99.9¢ | -114.23 | $114 | |
| 1mo | 0xc978...bdaa84 | No / 99.9¢ | -824.76 | $824 | |
| 1mo | bobe2 | No / 99.9¢ | +150.70 | $151 | |
| 1mo | 0x0a3c...5c0511 | No / 99.9¢ | -150.70 | $151 | |
| 1mo | bobe2 | No / 99.9¢ | +824.76 | $824 | |
| 1mo | bobe2 | No / 99.9¢ | +7.84 | $7.83 | |
| 1mo | 0x6709...0106f6 | No / 99.9¢ | -7.84 | $7.83 | |
| 1mo | 0x50a0...ad0f99 | No / 99.9¢ | -0.61 | $0.61 | |
| 1mo | bobe2 | No / 99.9¢ | +0.12 | $0.12 | |
| 1mo | 0x85fe...397446 | No / 99.9¢ | -0.12 | $0.12 |
1–25