
Volume
$6M
Txns
25,478
Traders
2,944
Fees
$0
Ends
Mar 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law. The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
Will Benjamin Netanyahu enter Iran by June 30?
No 100%$12Mvolume
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?
No 99%$1.63Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 99%$38.9Mvolume
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
No 87%$15.4Mvolume
Iran leadership change by June 30?
No 100%$3.81Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
No 64%$10.8Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2mo | 0x7429...3d0a8a | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 2mo | elmcap2 | No / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 2mo | elmcap2 | No / 99.9¢ | +5.05 | $5.04 | |
| 2mo | alltrueist | No / 99.9¢ | -5.05 | $5.04 | |
| 2mo | 0x8A2A316518155AeBEbC71d172fe7c011C8C8420A-1769064433529 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +39,000.00 | $39 | |
| 2mo | elmcap2 | No / 99.9¢ | +39,000.00 | $39K | |
| 2mo | 0xe1e5...7b35a4 | No / 99.9¢ | -9.21 | $9.2 | |
| 2mo | elmcap2 | No / 99.9¢ | +9.21 | $9.2 | |
| 2mo | elmcap2 | No / 99.9¢ | +114.00 | $114 | |
| 2mo | 0x1234...08c1bb | No / 99.9¢ | -114.00 | $114 | |
| 2mo | elmcap2 | No / 99.9¢ | +17.35 | $17.3 | |
| 2mo | bojackson | No / 99.9¢ | -17.35 | $17.3 | |
| 2mo | Hejdejakob | No / 99.9¢ | -1.00 | $1 | |
| 2mo | elmcap2 | No / 99.9¢ | +1.00 | $1 | |
| 2mo | elmcap2 | No / 99.9¢ | +114.23 | $114 | |
| 2mo | 0x1234...08c1bb | No / 99.9¢ | -114.23 | $114 | |
| 2mo | 0xc978...bdaa84 | No / 99.9¢ | -824.76 | $824 | |
| 2mo | elmcap2 | No / 99.9¢ | +150.70 | $151 | |
| 2mo | 0x0a3c...5c0511 | No / 99.9¢ | -150.70 | $151 | |
| 2mo | elmcap2 | No / 99.9¢ | +824.76 | $824 | |
| 2mo | elmcap2 | No / 99.9¢ | +7.84 | $7.83 | |
| 2mo | 0x6709...0106f6 | No / 99.9¢ | -7.84 | $7.83 | |
| 2mo | 0x50a0...ad0f99 | No / 99.9¢ | -0.61 | $0.61 | |
| 2mo | elmcap2 | No / 99.9¢ | +0.12 | $0.12 | |
| 2mo | 0x85fe...397446 | No / 99.9¢ | -0.12 | $0.12 |
1–25