
Volume
$3M
Txns
20,698
Traders
2,644
Fees
$0
Ends
Mar 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1mo | morilun | Yes / 0.1¢ | -5.03 | $0.01 | |
| 1mo | uhhhidontknow | No / 99.9¢ | -5.03 | $5.02 | |
| 1mo | 0x8733...0654f7 | No / 99.9¢ | -1.05 | $1.05 | |
| 1mo | morilun | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1.05 | $0 | |
| 1mo | Hotwheels | No / 99.9¢ | -5.20 | $5.19 | |
| 1mo | morilun | Yes / 0.1¢ | -5.20 | $0.01 | |
| 1mo | laowen888 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 1mo | 0x405809651DaE4E0556E8F3740B1e16A7DF2D35b5-1768388246454 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1mo | jjzzh | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1mo | ebashim. | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1mo | 0x92bb11Aa6E71aaEB4cea3C9A4EB915E2d5dC1AFB-1768960544824 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +949.07 | $0.95 | |
| 1mo | 0x92bb11Aa6E71aaEB4cea3C9A4EB915E2d5dC1AFB-1768960544824 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 1mo | rikitikitaki | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1mo | wxy7766 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 1mo | morilun | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 1mo | AndyPerrol | No / 99.9¢ | +4,074.07 | $4.07K | |
| 1mo | MartinaCandombe | Yes / 0.2¢ | -4.73 | $0.01 | |
| 1mo | rockyd | Yes / 0.2¢ | -27.00 | $0.05 | |
| 1mo | acc32 | Yes / 0.2¢ | -172.31 | $0.34 | |
| 1mo | scottvan3 | Yes / 0.2¢ | -155.02 | $0.31 | |
| 1mo | LukeDelta | Yes / 0.2¢ | -37.85 | $0.08 | |
| 1mo | fm14 | Yes / 0.2¢ | -60.00 | $0.12 | |
| 1mo | zououou | Yes / 0.2¢ | -200.00 | $0.4 | |
| 1mo | LukeDelta | Yes / 0.2¢ | -330.99 | $0.66 | |
| 1mo | LukeDelta | Yes / 0.2¢ | -122.22 | $0.24 |
1–25
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
No 81%$27.2Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
No 96%$1.8Mvolume
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
No 98%$2.89Mvolume
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
No 99%$25Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
No 58%$10.6Mvolume
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
No 85%$2.04Mvolume