
Volume
$438
Txns
37
Traders
14
Fees
$1
Liquidity
$230
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify. An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6d | RITB123 | No / 92.0¢ | +20.00 | $18.4 | |
| 6d | outcomes | Yes / 8.0¢ | +20.00 | $1.66 | |
| 6d | Mojito9 | Yes / 8.0¢ | +10.00 | $0.8 | |
| 6d | RITB123 | No / 92.0¢ | +10.00 | $9.23 | |
| 6d | outcomes | Yes / 11.0¢ | +29.00 | $3.3 | |
| 6d | RITB123 | No / 89.0¢ | +29.00 | $25.8 | |
| 6d | RITB123 | No / 91.0¢ | +38.00 | $34.6 | |
| 6d | outcomes | Yes / 9.0¢ | +38.00 | $3.54 | |
| 6d | RITB123 | No / 91.0¢ | +5.00 | $4.57 | |
| 6d | powerpoint | Yes / 9.0¢ | +5.00 | $0.45 | |
| 10d | RITB123 | No / 89.0¢ | +16.88 | $15.1 | |
| 10d | niglette | Yes / 11.0¢ | +16.88 | $1.86 | |
| 11d | RITB123 | No / 90.0¢ | +12.22 | $11 | |
| 11d | yyyyyyy | No / 90.0¢ | -12.22 | $11 | |
| 11d | RITB123 | No / 90.0¢ | +60.00 | $54.2 | |
| 11d | yyyyyyy | No / 90.0¢ | -60.00 | $54 | |
| 1mo | 0xB8eE94bD599A92D4747DdA5f3bc6D2B243349e81-1765943326811 | No / 90.7¢ | -0.56 | $0.51 | |
| 1mo | 0xB8eE94bD599A92D4747DdA5f3bc6D2B243349e81-1765943326811 | No / 90.7¢ | -7.00 | $6.35 | |
| 1mo | R18helloworld | Yes / 9.0¢ | -7.00 | $0.63 | |
| 1mo | R18helloworld | Yes / 9.0¢ | -0.56 | $0.05 | |
| 1mo | 0xB8eE94bD599A92D4747DdA5f3bc6D2B243349e81-1765943326811 | No / 77.0¢ | +28.45 | $21.9 | |
| 1mo | Lavincey | Yes / 23.0¢ | +28.45 | $6.54 | |
| 1mo | romanew-7-spread05 | Yes / 23.0¢ | -5.55 | $1.28 | |
| 1mo | Lavincey | Yes / 23.0¢ | +5.55 | $1.28 | |
| 1mo | 0xB8eE94bD599A92D4747DdA5f3bc6D2B243349e81-1765943326811 | No / 76.0¢ | +7.76 | $5.9 |
1–25
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?
Yes 58%$332Kvolume
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Yes 94%$3.24Mvolume
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?
Yes 100%$679Kvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 89%$1.89Mvolume
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
No 96%$833Kvolume
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
No 91%$987Kvolume