
Volume
$4K
Txns
196
Traders
48
Fees
$18
Liquidity
$333
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify. An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Yes 95%$3.45Mvolume
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?
Yes 71%$201Kvolume
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?
No 89%$112Kvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 90%$2.03Mvolume
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
Yes 63%$70.9Kvolume
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
No 94%$1.05Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6d | AJSV | Yes / 29.5¢ | +1.24 | $0.37 | |
| 6d | xxmatr | Yes / 28.7¢ | -1.24 | $0.36 | |
| 11d | b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | No / 28.5¢ | -1.24 | $0.35 | |
| 11d | AJSV | No / 29.3¢ | +1.24 | $0.36 | |
| 12d | xxmatr | Yes / 80.5¢ | +1.24 | $1.01 | |
| 12d | b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | No / 19.5¢ | +1.24 | $0.24 | |
| 17d | 0x6061d29e15BD677220C73dcdB5a6Fb0F23A82D4F-1775284879007 | Yes / 71.7¢ | +11.51 | $8.34 | |
| 17d | planktonXD | No / 28.3¢ | +11.51 | $3.26 | |
| 18d | Gundamn | Yes / 79.6¢ | +1.26 | $1.01 | |
| 18d | 0xf528...127e5b | Yes / 79.6¢ | -1.26 | $1 | |
| 22d | TraderProMax | No / 23.5¢ | -25.00 | $5.88 | |
| 22d | ansatz | No / 23.6¢ | -19.98 | $4.72 | |
| 22d | Seldon26 | Yes / 33.7¢ | +79.17 | $26.7 | |
| 22d | 0xf528...127e5b | Yes / 76.6¢ | +6.00 | $4.6 | |
| 22d | gngfnhgcdgdewg | Yes / 49.5¢ | -130.15 | $64.4 | |
| 23d | peepeepooppoop | No / 16.7¢ | +77.99 | $13 | |
| 23d | planktonXD | No / 16.1¢ | -77.99 | $12.6 | |
| 23d | peepeepooppoop | No / 16.9¢ | +100.00 | $16.9 | |
| 23d | 6idontknow123451334 | Yes / 83.4¢ | -30.16 | $25.1 | |
| 23d | gngfnhgcdgdewg | Yes / 83.2¢ | +130.16 | $109 | |
| 23d | romanew-crypto | No / 20.3¢ | -2.02 | $0.41 | |
| 23d | peepeepooppoop | No / 20.4¢ | -9.98 | $2.04 | |
| 23d | RITB123 | No / 20.4¢ | +12.00 | $2.52 | |
| 23d | romanew-crypto | No / 20.3¢ | -15.00 | $3.04 | |
| 23d | RITB123 | No / 20.3¢ | +15.00 | $3.14 |
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