
Volume
$2K
Txns
127
Traders
34
Fees
$8
Liquidity
$1,772
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify. An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7h | RITB123 | No / 26.0¢ | +20.00 | $5.35 | |
| 7h | AJSV | Yes / 74.0¢ | +20.00 | $14.8 | |
| 1d | AJSV | No / 40.0¢ | +3.03 | $1.21 | |
| 1d | iamgleb | Yes / 59.0¢ | -6.97 | $4.11 | |
| 1d | mskl | Yes / 59.3¢ | +10.00 | $6.03 | |
| 1d | mskl | Yes / 60.0¢ | +10.00 | $6 | |
| 1d | AJSV | No / 40.0¢ | +10.00 | $4.1 | |
| 1d | mskl | Yes / 55.0¢ | +7.00 | $3.92 | |
| 1d | 54sfds | No / 45.0¢ | +7.00 | $3.15 | |
| 2d | mskl | Yes / 54.0¢ | +6.00 | $3.3 | |
| 2d | 0xA6f773c77C876310757a44224B261B668dd51F33-1768165307891 | Yes / 54.0¢ | -6.00 | $3.24 | |
| 3d | 0x595f...1b3fca | No / 27.0¢ | +7.41 | $2.06 | |
| 3d | maksims55 | No / 27.0¢ | -5.00 | $1.35 | |
| 3d | TraderProMax | No / 27.0¢ | -2.41 | $0.65 | |
| 3d | RITB123 | No / 26.0¢ | +6.00 | $1.56 | |
| 3d | 0xA6f773c77C876310757a44224B261B668dd51F33-1768165307891 | Yes / 74.0¢ | +6.00 | $4.49 | |
| 3d | 0x595f...1b3fca | No / 26.0¢ | +7.69 | $2.06 | |
| 3d | TraderProMax | No / 26.0¢ | -7.69 | $2 | |
| 3d | iamgleb | Yes / 75.0¢ | +6.97 | $5.23 | |
| 3d | RITB123 | No / 25.0¢ | +6.97 | $1.79 | |
| 3d | 0x595f...1b3fca | No / 25.0¢ | +8.00 | $2.06 | |
| 3d | AJSV | Yes / 75.0¢ | +8.00 | $6 | |
| 3d | AJSV | Yes / 75.0¢ | +29.00 | $21.8 | |
| 3d | RITB123 | No / 25.0¢ | +29.00 | $7.47 | |
| 7d | dahongpaao | No / 26.0¢ | +5.00 | $1.34 |
1–25
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?
Yes 58%$332Kvolume
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Yes 94%$3.25Mvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 89%$1.89Mvolume
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
No 97%$833Kvolume
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
No 92%$987Kvolume
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?
No 89%$85.3Kvolume