Will the US add more than 125k jobs in December?
ResolvedVolume
$5K
Txns
161
Traders
50
Fees
$0
Ends
Jan 9, 2026
Volume
$5K
Txns
161
Traders
50
Fees
$0
Ends
Jan 9, 2026
This market will resolve according to the nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for December 2025, scheduled to be released on January 9, 2026, 8:30 AM ET. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for December is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
Trades
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Yes 99%$21.3Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 83%$20.8Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
No 52%$4.64Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$11.2Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$8.71Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Yes 83%$1.45Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5mo | elipson | No / 99.9¢ | -43.67 | $43.6 | |
| 5mo | KimiTalibantonelli | No / 99.9¢ | +43.67 | $43.6 | |
| 5mo | influenz.eth | No / 99.2¢ | +240.00 | $238 | |
| 5mo | podairpod | No / 99.2¢ | -240.00 | $238 | |
| 5mo | tinman2 | No / 98.5¢ | +42.27 | $41.6 | |
| 5mo | thanglong | No / 99.0¢ | -6.00 | $5.94 | |
| 5mo | Inthegamespain | No / 98.0¢ | -21.27 | $20.8 | |
| 5mo | rocketcrypto | Yes / 1.0¢ | +15.00 | $0.15 | |
| 5mo | planktonXD | Yes / 18.0¢ | -11.51 | $2.07 | |
| 5mo | esfse | No / 37.0¢ | +1.35 | $0.5 | |
| 5mo | puravida | Yes / 19.0¢ | -32.78 | $6.23 | |
| 5mo | mustbethewater | Yes / 17.0¢ | -5.00 | $0.85 | |
| 5mo | MrLasso | Yes / 19.7¢ | +50.64 | $10 | |
| 5mo | mwenya | Yes / 12.0¢ | +46.45 | $5.57 | |
| 5mo | esac | No / 88.0¢ | +46.45 | $40.9 | |
| 5mo | riceTwoOrdinary | Yes / 11.5¢ | +59.00 | $6.8 | |
| 5mo | esac | No / 88.0¢ | +31.07 | $27.3 | |
| 5mo | Inthegamespain | No / 89.0¢ | +21.27 | $18.9 | |
| 5mo | 28autos | Yes / 11.0¢ | -6.66 | $0.73 | |
| 5mo | mwenya | Yes / 11.0¢ | +22.47 | $2.47 | |
| 5mo | HowToBasic | No / 89.0¢ | +22.47 | $20 | |
| 5mo | mwenya | Yes / 2.0¢ | +1,020.41 | $20.4 | |
| 5mo | mrjuicy | No / 98.0¢ | +1,020.41 | $1000 | |
| 5mo | mwenya | Yes / 14.0¢ | +5.00 | $0.7 | |
| 5mo | esfse | No / 86.0¢ | +5.00 | $4.3 |
1–25