
Volume
$47K
Txns
955
Traders
149
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Starship upper stage for the eighth Starship-SuperHeavy test flight achieves a controlled splashdown in the ocean. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This market pertains to the eighth Starship launch. If the rocket lifts off the pad, it will be considered the eighth Starship launch, and this market will resolve based on it. If the rocket does not lift off the pad, it will not be considered the eighth launch, and this market will stay open until the eighth launch has occurred. If the eighth launch has not occurred by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." A splashdown will be considered controlled if the Starship upper stage successfully re-enters Earth's atmosphere, remains intact during descent, and enters the water without breaking apart or exploding upon impact. The resolution source for this market will be official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Trades
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Yes 89%$0volume
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
No 90%$0volume
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $0.70T on July 31?
No 65%$0volume
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?
No 97%$0volume
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.70T and $0.80T on July 31?
Yes 65%$0volume
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.80T and $0.90T on July 31?
No 99%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | potatosoup | No / 99.9¢ | -7.40 | $7.39 | |
| 1y | noreasapa | No / 99.9¢ | +7.40 | $7.39 | |
| 1y | blyagha | No / 99.9¢ | -19.98 | $20 | |
| 1y | noreasapa | No / 99.9¢ | +19.98 | $20 | |
| 1y | noreasapa | No / 99.9¢ | +4.00 | $4 | |
| 1y | Hindenburg | No / 99.9¢ | -4.00 | $4 | |
| 1y | Elon-Musk-69420 | No / 99.9¢ | -131.75 | $132 | |
| 1y | noreasapa | No / 99.9¢ | +131.75 | $132 | |
| 1y | blyagha | No / 99.2¢ | +20.00 | $19.8 | |
| 1y | 9182736455463728190 | No / 99.1¢ | -73.88 | $73.2 | |
| 1y | Liquidifier | No / 99.1¢ | +53.88 | $53.4 | |
| 1y | Jinmao | No / 99.0¢ | -22.20 | $22 | |
| 1y | Dr.mett | No / 99.0¢ | +22.20 | $22 | |
| 1y | MichelChrist-vieBimbakila | Yes / 1.2¢ | +81.43 | $1 | |
| 1y | road | No / 99.0¢ | +40.66 | $40.3 | |
| 1y | road | No / 99.0¢ | +22.20 | $22 | |
| 1y | BrightSpringFox | No / 98.0¢ | +18.57 | $18.2 | |
| 1y | Jinmao | No / 99.0¢ | -23.04 | $22.8 | |
| 1y | LlamaEnjoyer | No / 99.0¢ | +23.04 | $22.8 | |
| 1y | LlamaEnjoyer | No / 99.0¢ | +451.70 | $447 | |
| 1y | okalright | No / 99.0¢ | -451.70 | $447 | |
| 1y | elkamello | No / 99.0¢ | +23.03 | $22.8 | |
| 1y | okalright | No / 99.0¢ | -23.03 | $22.8 | |
| 1y | HambaDamba | No / 99.0¢ | +25.25 | $25 | |
| 1y | okalright | No / 99.0¢ | -25.25 | $25 |
1–25