
Volume
$47K
Txns
955
Traders
149
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Starship upper stage for the eighth Starship-SuperHeavy test flight achieves a controlled splashdown in the ocean. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This market pertains to the eighth Starship launch. If the rocket lifts off the pad, it will be considered the eighth Starship launch, and this market will resolve based on it. If the rocket does not lift off the pad, it will not be considered the eighth launch, and this market will stay open until the eighth launch has occurred. If the eighth launch has not occurred by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." A splashdown will be considered controlled if the Starship upper stage successfully re-enters Earth's atmosphere, remains intact during descent, and enters the water without breaking apart or exploding upon impact. The resolution source for this market will be official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Trades
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?
Yes 100%$782Kvolume
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?
Yes 100%$815Kvolume
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
No 100%$422Kvolume
Will SpaceX’s “High” share price on its first day of trading hit 300 (High)?
No 100%$206Kvolume
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?
No 100%$332Kvolume
Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?
Yes 100%$322Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | potatosoup | No / 99.9¢ | -7.40 | $7.39 | |
| 1y | noreasapa | No / 99.9¢ | +7.40 | $7.39 | |
| 1y | blyagha | No / 99.9¢ | -19.98 | $20 | |
| 1y | noreasapa | No / 99.9¢ | +19.98 | $20 | |
| 1y | noreasapa | No / 99.9¢ | +4.00 | $4 | |
| 1y | Hindenburg | No / 99.9¢ | -4.00 | $4 | |
| 1y | Elon-Musk-69420 | No / 99.9¢ | -131.75 | $132 | |
| 1y | noreasapa | No / 99.9¢ | +131.75 | $132 | |
| 1y | blyagha | No / 99.2¢ | +20.00 | $19.8 | |
| 1y | 9182736455463728190 | No / 99.1¢ | -73.88 | $73.2 | |
| 1y | Liquidifier | No / 99.1¢ | +53.88 | $53.4 | |
| 1y | Jinmao | No / 99.0¢ | -22.20 | $22 | |
| 1y | Dr.mett | No / 99.0¢ | +22.20 | $22 | |
| 1y | MichelChrist-vieBimbakila | Yes / 1.2¢ | +81.43 | $1 | |
| 1y | road | No / 99.0¢ | +40.66 | $40.3 | |
| 1y | road | No / 99.0¢ | +22.20 | $22 | |
| 1y | BrightSpringFox | No / 98.0¢ | +18.57 | $18.2 | |
| 1y | Jinmao | No / 99.0¢ | -23.04 | $22.8 | |
| 1y | LlamaEnjoyer | No / 99.0¢ | +23.04 | $22.8 | |
| 1y | LlamaEnjoyer | No / 99.0¢ | +451.70 | $447 | |
| 1y | okalright | No / 99.0¢ | -451.70 | $447 | |
| 1y | elkamello | No / 99.0¢ | +23.03 | $22.8 | |
| 1y | okalright | No / 99.0¢ | -23.03 | $22.8 | |
| 1y | HambaDamba | No / 99.0¢ | +25.25 | $25 | |
| 1y | okalright | No / 99.0¢ | -25.25 | $25 |
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