Will the SPD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?
ResolvedVolume
$313K
Txns
6,842
Traders
1,552
Fees
$0
Ends
Feb 23, 2025
Volume
$313K
Txns
6,842
Traders
1,552
Fees
$0
Ends
Feb 23, 2025
German Federal elections to elect the 21st Bundestag are scheduled to take place February 23, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the SPD (Social Democratic Party, Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands) wins between 25% (inclusive) and 30% (inclusive) of all party list votes in the next German parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of votes won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results as reported by the German government, specifically the Federal Returning Officer (Bundeswahlleiter) (https://www.bundeswahlleiterin.de/en/).
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | keenanlighting | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | SolVianis | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | SolVianis | Yes / 0.1¢ | -49,818.39 | $49.8 | |
| 1y | Caelvior | No / 99.9¢ | -51,852.00 | $51.8K | |
| 1y | Liquidifier | Yes / 0.1¢ | -2,033.61 | $2.03 | |
| 1y | SolVianis | Yes / 0.1¢ | +51,852.00 | $51.9 | |
| 1y | Caelvior | No / 99.9¢ | +51,852.00 | $51.8K | |
| 1y | bnmcfth | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5,511.80 | $5.51 | |
| 1y | dtgdfgh | Yes / 0.1¢ | -5,511.80 | $5.51 | |
| 1y | gujtg | Yes / 0.1¢ | -5,511.80 | $5.51 | |
| 1y | dtgdfgh | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5,511.80 | $5.51 | |
| 1y | cgnhfgh | Yes / 0.1¢ | -5,511.80 | $5.51 | |
| 1y | gujtg | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5,511.80 | $5.51 | |
| 1y | cgnhfgh | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5,511.80 | $5.51 | |
| 1y | gfuyrgthf | Yes / 0.1¢ | -5,511.80 | $5.51 | |
| 1y | gfuyrgthf | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5,511.80 | $5.51 | |
| 1y | fthfgh | Yes / 0.1¢ | -5,511.80 | $5.51 | |
| 1y | fthfgh | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5,511.80 | $5.51 | |
| 1y | fthjfthyd | Yes / 0.1¢ | -5,511.80 | $5.51 | |
| 1y | regtergfetr | Yes / 0.1¢ | -5,511.80 | $5.51 | |
| 1y | fthjfthyd | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5,511.80 | $5.51 | |
| 1y | dfrgtdrfh | Yes / 0.1¢ | -5,511.80 | $5.51 | |
| 1y | regtergfetr | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5,511.80 | $5.51 | |
| 1y | dfrgtdrfh | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5,511.80 | $5.51 | |
| 1y | dfyhf | Yes / 0.1¢ | -5,511.80 | $5.51 |
1–25
Will CDU/CSU and SPD form the next German Government?
Yes 100%$2.96Mvolume
Will BSW win the most seats in the next German election?
No 100%$2.71Mvolume
Will the SPD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?
Yes 100%$1.01Mvolume
Will SPD win the most seats in the next German election?
No 100%$6.73Mvolume
Will the SPD be part of the next German government?
Yes 100%$871Kvolume
Will another party win the second most seats in the next German election?
No 100%$922Kvolume