
Volume
$849K
Txns
9,335
Traders
1,268
Fees
$0
Ends
Feb 23, 2025
German Federal elections to elect the 21st Bundestag are scheduled to take place February 23, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any party other than SPD, CDU/CSU, AfD, Greens, FDP, or BSW wins the second most seats of any party in the Bundestag (Germany's lower house) as a result of the next German parliamentary election. If voting in the next German parliamentary election does not occur by June 30, 2025, this market will resolve to "Yes". In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the second most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won an individual party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. This market will resolve based on the final total number of seats won by each party, including any overhang mandates (Überhangmandate) and balancing mandates (Ausgleichsmandate), as reflected in the official results. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the German government, specifically the Federal Returning Officer (Bundeswahlleiter) (https://www.bundeswahlleiterin.de/en/). Note: The CDU and CSU will be considered a single party, NOT a coalition for the purpose of this market.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | Hansberto | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1,850.00 | $1.85 | |
| 1y | cry.eth2 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -150.00 | $0.15 | |
| 1y | letsdoit | Yes / 0.1¢ | +2,000.00 | $2 | |
| 1y | Siziriv | Yes / 0.1¢ | -16.39 | $0.02 | |
| 1y | Siziriv | Yes / 0.1¢ | -7.81 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | Siziriv | Yes / 0.1¢ | -8.21 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | JSK030 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,305.13 | $1.31 | |
| 1y | cry.eth2 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -150.00 | $0.15 | |
| 1y | cry.eth2 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -7.81 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | cry.eth2 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -19.86 | $0.02 | |
| 1y | cry.eth2 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -8.21 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | Liquidifier | Yes / 0.1¢ | -927.34 | $0.93 | |
| 1y | cry.eth2 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -143.11 | $0.14 | |
| 1y | cry.eth2 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -16.39 | $0.02 | |
| 1y | Liquidifier | Yes / 0.1¢ | -993.13 | $0.99 | |
| 1y | ERENRW | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | cry.eth2 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -6.87 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | cry.eth2 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -48.00 | $0.05 | |
| 1y | cry.eth2 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 1y | BabyYoda12 | Yes / 0.2¢ | -844.78 | $1.69 | |
| 1y | cry.eth2 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -56.00 | $0.06 | |
| 1y | cry.eth2 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -56.45 | $0.06 | |
| 1y | MAC | Yes / 0.2¢ | +1,155.23 | $2 | |
| 1y | cry.eth2 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 1y | Dymagorin | Yes / 0.2¢ | +500.00 | $1 |
1–25
Will CDU/CSU and SPD form the next German Government?
Yes 100%$2.16Mvolume
Will BSW win the most seats in the next German election?
No 100%$2.53Mvolume
Will the SPD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?
Yes 100%$811Kvolume
Will SPD win the most seats in the next German election?
No 100%$5.87Mvolume
Will the SPD be part of the next German government?
Yes 100%$555Kvolume
Will the CDU/CSU win between 30% and 32% of the vote in the German election?
No 100%$32.4Kvolume