Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate after the February decision?
ResolvedVolume
$30K
Txns
866
Traders
176
Fees
$0
Ends
Volume
$30K
Txns
866
Traders
176
Fees
$0
Ends
Feb 17, 2026
This market will resolve according to the change in the official cash rate (OCR) resulting from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s February monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand after its February 17, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of New Zealand monetary policy schedule: https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events#sort=%40eventstart%20ascending&f:@hierarchicalz95xsz120xatopictagnames=[Monetary%20policy] This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's media release for their February 17, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the official cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Trades
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Yes 99%$21Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$8.68Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$11Mvolume
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$6.72Mvolume
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Yes 92%$1.52Mvolume
Fed rate hike in 2026?
No 60%$1.8Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3mo | 0x5475FF6a685844387525946afA1b8C2c604386E2-1771367948966 | Yes / 0.3¢ | +723.33 | $2.17 | |
| 3mo | taut-dogwood | No / 99.7¢ | +723.33 | $721 | |
| 3mo | taut-dogwood | No / 99.8¢ | +1,000.00 | $998 | |
| 3mo | zincnz | Yes / 0.2¢ | +1,500.00 | $3 | |
| 3mo | taut-dogwood | No / 99.8¢ | +500.00 | $499 | |
| 3mo | whyareyoureadingthis | No / 99.9¢ | -122.36 | $122 | |
| 3mo | taut-dogwood | No / 99.9¢ | +122.36 | $122 | |
| 3mo | taut-dogwood | No / 99.8¢ | +500.00 | $499 | |
| 3mo | JeSappelle | Yes / 0.2¢ | +500.00 | $1 | |
| 3mo | taut-dogwood | No / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 3mo | mrdonaldo | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 3mo | taut-dogwood | No / 99.8¢ | +100.00 | $99.8 | |
| 3mo | taut-dogwood | No / 99.6¢ | +52.50 | $52.3 | |
| 3mo | nugazaq | Yes / 0.3¢ | +352.50 | $1 | |
| 3mo | taut-dogwood | No / 99.7¢ | +100.00 | $99.7 | |
| 3mo | influenz.eth | No / 99.8¢ | +10.00 | $9.98 | |
| 3mo | influenz.eth | No / 99.7¢ | +90.00 | $89.7 | |
| 3mo | cry.eth2 | Yes / 0.2¢ | -11.06 | $0.02 | |
| 3mo | bamesjond | No / 99.7¢ | +13.96 | $13.9 | |
| 3mo | Concept211 | No / 99.7¢ | -25.02 | $25 | |
| 3mo | 5273853 | No / 99.4¢ | -2.00 | $1.99 | |
| 3mo | taut-dogwood | No / 99.4¢ | +2.00 | $1.99 | |
| 3mo | Biver52 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -99.99 | $0.1 | |
| 3mo | influenz.eth | No / 99.7¢ | +19.99 | $19.9 | |
| 3mo | taut-dogwood | No / 99.4¢ | +4.74 | $4.71 |
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