
Volume
$12K
Txns
428
Traders
109
Fees
$0
Ends
Jan 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kharg Island oil terminal is the subject of a kinetic strike between market creation and January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Missile/drone strikes which are shot down or don't hit the terminal will not be considered for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?
Yes 100%$0volume
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No 76%$0volume
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?
No 100%$0volume
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Yes 79%$0volume
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
No 79%$0volume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
No 93%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5mo | lighter-nls | No / 99.9¢ | -2.00 | $2 | |
| 5mo | 0fb15080c50ce5251cffa7fa08f2eb612bf725c3 | No / 99.9¢ | +2.00 | $2 | |
| 5mo | 4... | Yes / 0.2¢ | +5.83 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | CriptanTDA | Yes / 0.3¢ | +151.80 | $0.46 | |
| 5mo | 4... | Yes / 0.4¢ | +12.72 | $0.05 | |
| 5mo | CriptanTDA | Yes / 0.2¢ | +300.00 | $0.6 | |
| 5mo | Dr.mett | No / 99.8¢ | +485.18 | $484 | |
| 5mo | 4... | Yes / 0.3¢ | +8.96 | $0.03 | |
| 5mo | 4... | Yes / 0.2¢ | +5.87 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | Dr.mett | No / 99.5¢ | +37.85 | $37.7 | |
| 5mo | 4... | Yes / 0.4¢ | +5.01 | $0.02 | |
| 5mo | 4... | Yes / 0.4¢ | +7.57 | $0.03 | |
| 5mo | 4... | Yes / 0.6¢ | +12.23 | $0.07 | |
| 5mo | 4... | Yes / 0.4¢ | +7.60 | $0.03 | |
| 5mo | 4... | Yes / 0.4¢ | +5.44 | $0.02 | |
| 5mo | 4... | Yes / 1.9¢ | -4.44 | $0.08 | |
| 5mo | 4gevs85s | No / 98.1¢ | -4.44 | $4.36 | |
| 6mo | 4... | Yes / 0.4¢ | +10.98 | $0.04 | |
| 6mo | 4... | Yes / 0.4¢ | +21.65 | $0.09 | |
| 6mo | Laurenman | No / 99.6¢ | +32.63 | $32.5 | |
| 6mo | CriptanTDA | Yes / 0.3¢ | +48.20 | $0.14 | |
| 6mo | 0x460c...a2faa0 | Yes / 0.4¢ | -127.55 | $0.46 | |
| 6mo | CriptanTDA | Yes / 0.4¢ | +79.35 | $0.32 | |
| 6mo | 4... | Yes / 0.5¢ | +24.09 | $0.12 | |
| 6mo | Laurenman | No / 99.5¢ | +24.09 | $24 |
1–25