
Volume
$991K
Txns
13,721
Traders
1,739
Fees
$0
Ends
Apr 15, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kharg Island oil terminal is the subject of a kinetic strike by April 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying strikes occurring on or after February 28 ET will count even if they occurred before market creation. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?
No 100%$0volume
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
No 91%$0volume
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?
No 100%$0volume
Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?
No 100%$0volume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
No 96%$0volume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
No 99%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2mo | Dmon8or | No / 99.9¢ | -20.83 | $20.8 | |
| 2mo | Nottooserious | Yes / 0.1¢ | -12.68 | $0.01 | |
| 2mo | Montaigne | No / 99.9¢ | +8.15 | $8.14 | |
| 2mo | Chuggo1 | No / 99.9¢ | -25.89 | $25.9 | |
| 2mo | Nottooserious | Yes / 0.1¢ | -25.89 | $0.03 | |
| 2mo | Nottooserious | Yes / 0.1¢ | -5.21 | $0.01 | |
| 2mo | 0xE8d832a2844b323f840D643e2df961B281E9ac5E-1770151340977 | No / 99.9¢ | -5.21 | $5.2 | |
| 2mo | Nottooserious | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1.11 | $0 | |
| 2mo | 0x7da6...c09eb7 | No / 99.9¢ | -1.11 | $1.11 | |
| 2mo | zzy379777786 | No / 99.9¢ | -5.11 | $5.1 | |
| 2mo | Nottooserious | Yes / 0.1¢ | -5.11 | $0.01 | |
| 2mo | MirLegend | No / 99.9¢ | -10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 2mo | Morra | No / 99.9¢ | -14.03 | $14 | |
| 2mo | ExhaustedBoyBilly | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5,000.00 | $5 | |
| 2mo | Elrhames14 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 2mo | Sydnar | No / 99.9¢ | -210.00 | $210 | |
| 2mo | claudio-oktopus | No / 99.9¢ | -20.02 | $20 | |
| 2mo | 0xRocket666 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +200.00 | $0.2 | |
| 2mo | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 99.9¢ | +8,587.00 | $8.58K | |
| 2mo | BigYahuu | No / 99.9¢ | -1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 2mo | 0x405809651DaE4E0556E8F3740B1e16A7DF2D35b5-1768388246454 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 2mo | Nottooserious | Yes / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 2mo | Prinas | No / 99.9¢ | -772.95 | $772 | |
| 2mo | 0x6bDbBbf6b7A21c1bb1e83d5ba4c01ac1C4b64496-1771839100479 | No / 99.9¢ | -300.00 | $300 | |
| 2mo | Montaigne | No / 99.8¢ | +1.17 | $1.17 |
1–25