
Volume
$763K
Txns
12,855
Traders
1,737
Fees
$0
Ends
Apr 15, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kharg Island oil terminal is the subject of a kinetic strike by April 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying strikes occurring on or after February 28 ET will count even if they occurred before market creation. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1mo | Dmon8or | No / 99.9¢ | -20.83 | $20.8 | |
| 1mo | Nottooserious | Yes / 0.1¢ | -12.68 | $0.01 | |
| 1mo | Montaigne | No / 99.9¢ | +8.15 | $8.14 | |
| 1mo | Chuggo1 | No / 99.9¢ | -25.89 | $25.9 | |
| 1mo | Nottooserious | Yes / 0.1¢ | -25.89 | $0.03 | |
| 1mo | Nottooserious | Yes / 0.1¢ | -5.21 | $0.01 | |
| 1mo | 0xE8d832a2844b323f840D643e2df961B281E9ac5E-1770151340977 | No / 99.9¢ | -5.21 | $5.2 | |
| 1mo | Nottooserious | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1.11 | $0 | |
| 1mo | 0x7da6...c09eb7 | No / 99.9¢ | -1.11 | $1.11 | |
| 1mo | zzy379777786 | No / 99.9¢ | -5.11 | $5.1 | |
| 1mo | Nottooserious | Yes / 0.1¢ | -5.11 | $0.01 | |
| 1mo | MirLegend | No / 99.9¢ | -10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 1mo | Morra | No / 99.9¢ | -14.03 | $14 | |
| 1mo | ExhaustedBoyBilly | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5,000.00 | $5 | |
| 1mo | Elrhames14 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 1mo | Sydnar | No / 99.9¢ | -210.00 | $210 | |
| 1mo | claudio-oktopus | No / 99.9¢ | -20.02 | $20 | |
| 1mo | 0xRocket666 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +200.00 | $0.2 | |
| 1mo | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 99.9¢ | +8,587.00 | $8.58K | |
| 1mo | BigYahuu | No / 99.9¢ | -1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 1mo | 0x405809651DaE4E0556E8F3740B1e16A7DF2D35b5-1768388246454 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1mo | Nottooserious | Yes / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 1mo | Prinas | No / 99.9¢ | -772.95 | $772 | |
| 1mo | 0x6bDbBbf6b7A21c1bb1e83d5ba4c01ac1C4b64496-1771839100479 | No / 99.9¢ | -300.00 | $300 | |
| 1mo | Montaigne | No / 99.8¢ | +1.17 | $1.17 |
1–25
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
No 93%$11.2Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
No 79%$43.6Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
No 97%$23.7Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?
No 99%$1.58Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?
No 100%$1.44Mvolume
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?
Yes 100%$3.08Mvolume