
Volume
$50K
Txns
1,015
Traders
228
Fees
$7
Liquidity
$1,775
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered. The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.
Trades
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Yes 100%$23.6Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$11.8Mvolume
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Yes 93%$1.81Mvolume
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$6.93Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
No 99%$905Kvolume
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?
Yes 100%$536Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | gorakensrff | No / 96.4¢ | -31.33 | $30.2 | |
| 1d | nahnahnah0 | No / 96.4¢ | -52.00 | $50.1 | |
| 1d | johnsinai | No / 96.4¢ | -49.99 | $48.2 | |
| 1d | xinyuan | No / 96.4¢ | +133.32 | $129 | |
| 2d | tiger555 | Yes / 3.7¢ | -5.03 | $0.19 | |
| 2d | Xixihaha008 | No / 96.1¢ | -5.03 | $4.83 | |
| 2d | gregory701 | No / 96.4¢ | -15.33 | $14.8 | |
| 2d | liveman | No / 96.4¢ | +35.00 | $33.8 | |
| 2d | gorakensrff | No / 96.4¢ | -19.67 | $19 | |
| 2d | hitunfar | No / 96.1¢ | -30.00 | $28.8 | |
| 2d | tiger555 | Yes / 3.7¢ | -30.00 | $1.11 | |
| 5d | hithitfar | No / 96.1¢ | -50.00 | $48.1 | |
| 5d | tiger555 | Yes / 3.7¢ | -50.00 | $1.85 | |
| 5d | hithitfar | No / 96.1¢ | -50.00 | $48.1 | |
| 5d | tiger555 | Yes / 3.7¢ | -50.00 | $1.85 | |
| 5d | mvbncd | No / 96.1¢ | -1.59 | $1.53 | |
| 5d | tiger555 | Yes / 3.7¢ | -1.59 | $0.06 | |
| 5d | tiger555 | Yes / 3.7¢ | -1.59 | $0.06 | |
| 5d | ptyiqwr | No / 96.1¢ | -1.59 | $1.53 | |
| 6d | elpatrondelaciudad | No / 96.1¢ | -1.10 | $1.06 | |
| 6d | tiger555 | Yes / 3.7¢ | -1.10 | $0.04 | |
| 6d | gregory701 | No / 96.4¢ | -1.11 | $1.07 | |
| 6d | elpatrondelaciudad | No / 96.4¢ | +1.11 | $1.07 | |
| 7d | leedolores58 | No / 96.3¢ | +39.02 | $37.6 | |
| 7d | hithitfar | No / 96.1¢ | -50.00 | $48.1 |
1–25