
Volume
$15K
Txns
906
Traders
170
Fees
$0
Ends
Apr 12, 2026
This market will resolve according to the 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz that IMF Portwatch reports for the specified date. Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered. This market will resolve as soon as the data for the specified date has been published. If no data for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the end of the specified date, this market will resolve based on data for the most recent date prior to the specified date for which data is available. This market will resolve based on the first publication of data for the specified date. Any subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2mo | 0xf243 | No / 99.3¢ | +96.37 | $95.7 | |
| 2mo | smalltest | Yes / 0.3¢ | -16.90 | $0.05 | |
| 2mo | smalltest | Yes / 0.3¢ | -6.46 | $0.02 | |
| 2mo | smalltest | Yes / 0.4¢ | -10.70 | $0.04 | |
| 2mo | S888 | No / 99.8¢ | +10.00 | $9.98 | |
| 2mo | N1xHS | No / 99.5¢ | -189.14 | $188 | |
| 2mo | rx8549o867549 | Yes / 0.2¢ | -19.00 | $0.04 | |
| 2mo | Simyi | Yes / 0.3¢ | -29.71 | $0.09 | |
| 2mo | 0x6F664FF1e1A7bea81d8C8b1F87Fd2e8bf5128218-1775594426850 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,010.00 | $1.01 | |
| 2mo | rx8549o867549 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -9.00 | $0.01 | |
| 2mo | OraculumNobius | No / 99.9¢ | +1,001.00 | $1000 | |
| 2mo | DkOYL | Yes / 0.1¢ | -10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 2mo | 0x405809651DaE4E0556E8F3740B1e16A7DF2D35b5-1768388246454 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 2mo | cry.eth2 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -25.00 | $0.03 | |
| 2mo | smalltest | Yes / 0.2¢ | -56.05 | $0.11 | |
| 2mo | cry.eth2 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -269.70 | $0.27 | |
| 2mo | cry.eth2 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -108.20 | $0.11 | |
| 2mo | smalltest | Yes / 0.2¢ | -30.40 | $0.06 | |
| 2mo | cry.eth2 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -7.00 | $0.01 | |
| 2mo | S888 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -40.00 | $0.04 | |
| 2mo | cry.eth2 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -19.31 | $0.02 | |
| 2mo | cry.eth2 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -50.50 | $0.05 | |
| 2mo | cry.eth2 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -8.00 | $0.01 | |
| 2mo | cry.eth2 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -25.00 | $0.03 | |
| 2mo | 0xDC. | Yes / 0.1¢ | +803.56 | $1 |
1–25
Iran full airspace closure by June 30?
No 94%$1.5Kvolume
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?
No 74%$953volume
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?
No 83%$496volume
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?
$2.13volume
Will there be between 50 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?
No 100%$122Kvolume
Will 15-19 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 23-29?
No 100%$6.54Kvolume