
Volume
$34K
Txns
382
Traders
97
Fees
$0
Ends
Mar 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between December 9, 2025 and March 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the Treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
Trades
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Yes 99%$22.7Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
No 100%$7.96Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$11.7Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 77%$21.4Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Yes 55%$4.99Mvolume
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$6.92Mvolume