Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4% in 2025?
ResolvedVolume
$247K
Txns
2,158
Traders
308
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2025
Volume
$247K
Txns
2,158
Traders
308
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between February 24 and December 31, 2025. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
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| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7mo | 0x01eD5C64d1d8905afd7917d75A5652665f5CcA5f-1751010305759 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1.97 | $1.97 | |
| 7mo | gchuber88 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -1.97 | $1.97 | |
| 7mo | 4... | No / 0.2¢ | +222.20 | $0.44 | |
| 7mo | AgricultureSecretary | Yes / 99.8¢ | +222.20 | $222 | |
| 7mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | No / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 7mo | 0xf8b7...2114de | No / 0.1¢ | +79.00 | $0.08 | |
| 7mo | cattalist | No / 0.1¢ | +10,000.00 | $10 | |
| 7mo | 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-0717159345256 | No / 0.1¢ | +14.00 | $0.01 | |
| 7mo | 0xf8b7...2114de | No / 0.1¢ | +49.00 | $0.05 | |
| 7mo | AgricultureSecretary | Yes / 99.9¢ | +10,183.00 | $10.2K | |
| 7mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | No / 0.1¢ | +6.00 | $0.01 | |
| 7mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | No / 0.1¢ | +16.00 | $0.02 | |
| 7mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | No / 0.1¢ | +14.00 | $0.01 | |
| 7mo | 4... | No / 0.3¢ | +14.02 | $0.04 | |
| 7mo | AgricultureSecretary | Yes / 99.8¢ | +6,514.02 | $6.5K | |
| 7mo | planktonXD | No / 0.2¢ | +6,500.00 | $13 | |
| 7mo | 0x4e25...5cd7a7 | Yes / 99.2¢ | +100.00 | $99.2 | |
| 7mo | daroghi | No / 0.8¢ | +100.00 | $0.8 | |
| 7mo | daroghi | No / 1.0¢ | -1.01 | $0.01 | |
| 7mo | rocky42015 | No / 1.0¢ | +1.01 | $0.01 | |
| 7mo | Karandash | Yes / 99.1¢ | +1.01 | $1 | |
| 7mo | daroghi | No / 0.9¢ | +1.01 | $0.01 | |
| 7mo | 4... | No / 1.5¢ | +5.64 | $0.08 | |
| 7mo | 0x4e25...5cd7a7 | Yes / 98.9¢ | +22.64 | $22.4 | |
| 7mo | 0xdBEc52f8730bE1b1eb984F0EF154A71f77AEb6F6-1757058658782 | Yes / 99.0¢ | -17.00 | $16.8 |
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