Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% in 2025?
ResolvedVolume
$41K
Txns
1,012
Traders
221
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2025
Volume
$41K
Txns
1,012
Traders
221
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between February 24 and December 31, 2025. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
Trades
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?
Yes 52%$310Kvolume
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Yes 94%$3.2Mvolume
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?
No 79%$924Kvolume
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Yes 78%$5.32Mvolume
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
No 83%$225Kvolume
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?
No 98%$141Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5mo | Owwwnn | Yes / 0.1¢ | +49.52 | $0.05 | |
| 5mo | Cronnozzz | Yes / 0.1¢ | +47.55 | $0.05 | |
| 5mo | 0xf8b7...2114de | Yes / 0.1¢ | +56.00 | $0.06 | |
| 5mo | Blaorra | Yes / 0.1¢ | +24.69 | $0.02 | |
| 5mo | 0x2C45f2bE0c74bf01580A4b558bb26979D6e64790-1758033737214 | No / 99.9¢ | +177.76 | $178 | |
| 5mo | Shipoo | Yes / 0.1¢ | +31.19 | $0.03 | |
| 5mo | Polyfirefly | Yes / 0.1¢ | +45.95 | $0.05 | |
| 5mo | Yukaii | Yes / 0.1¢ | +46.89 | $0.05 | |
| 5mo | Pestle | Yes / 0.1¢ | +42.80 | $0.04 | |
| 5mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +351.48 | $0.35 | |
| 5mo | Avvnnnn | Yes / 0.1¢ | +31.43 | $0.03 | |
| 5mo | gogogo1234556 | No / 99.9¢ | +1,001.00 | $1000 | |
| 5mo | AsuraSmellsLikeASS | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | Oddinn | Yes / 0.1¢ | +36.33 | $0.04 | |
| 5mo | Nexuus | Yes / 0.1¢ | +50.22 | $0.05 | |
| 5mo | Rlso | Yes / 0.1¢ | +34.99 | $0.03 | |
| 5mo | Snpe | Yes / 0.1¢ | +51.55 | $0.05 | |
| 5mo | Ignisss | Yes / 0.1¢ | +48.07 | $0.05 | |
| 5mo | 0xef2a...99bd7e | Yes / 0.1¢ | +173.00 | $0.17 | |
| 5mo | Kanp | Yes / 0.1¢ | +39.73 | $0.04 | |
| 5mo | Blaorra | Yes / 0.1¢ | +7.37 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | 0x4018...7dd14a | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | 0x4018...7dd14a | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.48 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +14.00 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | Yongjian | No / 99.9¢ | +100.00 | $99.9 |
1–25