Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 1.0% before 2027?
ActiveVolume
$39K
Txns
1,047
Traders
57
Fees
$1
Liquidity
$11,002
Ends
Volume
$39K
Txns
1,047
Traders
57
Fees
$1
Liquidity
$11,002
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
Trades
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?
Yes 59%$308Kvolume
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Yes 94%$3.2Mvolume
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
No 81%$224Kvolume
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?
No 89%$919Kvolume
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Yes 79%$5.31Mvolume
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
No 100%$2.89Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16d | BlackFridayDeals | No / 95.9¢ | -100.00 | $95.9 | |
| 16d | 35ressen | No / 96.1¢ | +28.31 | $27.2 | |
| 16d | alexkrg | Yes / 3.9¢ | -71.41 | $2.78 | |
| 16d | beguschiypolesfyu | No / 96.1¢ | +0.28 | $0.27 | |
| 18d | f54940e77 | Yes / 3.6¢ | -2.31 | $0.08 | |
| 18d | eziaheracles | No / 96.2¢ | -2.31 | $2.22 | |
| 29d | lexswitz | No / 95.9¢ | -24.69 | $23.7 | |
| 29d | 35ressen | No / 96.1¢ | +24.69 | $23.7 | |
| 1mo | lever098 | No / 96.0¢ | +25.00 | $24 | |
| 1mo | 0x434f...908266 | Yes / 4.0¢ | +24.95 | $1 | |
| 1mo | ZakazDostavlen | Yes / 4.0¢ | -3.48 | $0.14 | |
| 1mo | lever098 | No / 96.0¢ | +21.52 | $20.7 | |
| 1mo | 0x0c4e...e08eaa | Yes / 4.0¢ | +24.95 | $1 | |
| 1mo | alexkrg | Yes / 3.9¢ | -2.18 | $0.08 | |
| 1mo | mama.of.3.boys | No / 96.1¢ | +52.03 | $50 | |
| 1mo | joosepyy | No / 96.1¢ | +21.00 | $20.2 | |
| 1mo | eziaheracles | No / 96.1¢ | +53.00 | $50.9 | |
| 1mo | 0x35df...adcf97 | Yes / 3.9¢ | +127.96 | $5 | |
| 1mo | noave | No / 95.8¢ | -1.52 | $1.46 | |
| 1mo | ZakazDostavlen | Yes / 4.0¢ | -1.52 | $0.06 | |
| 1mo | Chetonsol | No / 94.7¢ | -50.00 | $47.3 | |
| 1mo | Haradwaith | Yes / 5.1¢ | -20.10 | $1.03 | |
| 1mo | alexkrg | Yes / 5.1¢ | -29.90 | $1.52 | |
| 1mo | nc3iceibvtvetvbt | Yes / 3.9¢ | -20.10 | $0.78 | |
| 1mo | Haradwaith | Yes / 3.9¢ | +20.10 | $0.78 |
1–25