
Volume
$322K
Txns
4,959
Traders
1,151
Fees
$3
Ends
Jan 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the booster for the twelfth Starship-SuperHeavy test explodes at any point during the test from the start of fueling operations to 60 minutes after it makes contact with Earth upon landing. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An explosion is defined as a violent and catastrophic event resulting in the destruction of all or part of the vehicle, regardless of intent or context (e.g., a planned termination event would also count). If the twelfth launch has not occurred by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Note: The sixth Starship-SuperHeavy test flight which exploded after executing controlled splashdown in the Gulf of Mexico would qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3mo | taylorisabela | No / 99.9¢ | -20.00 | $20 | |
| 3mo | 0x405809651DaE4E0556E8F3740B1e16A7DF2D35b5-1768388246454 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.77 | $0.01 | |
| 3mo | beenraping | No / 99.9¢ | +25.77 | $25.7 | |
| 3mo | beenraping | No / 99.8¢ | +23.00 | $23 | |
| 3mo | Suspendedgod | No / 99.8¢ | -23.00 | $23 | |
| 3mo | 0x36ae40ed86783C23b41fA7464bB58F6748e2266F-1777049910971 | Yes / 0.5¢ | +199.96 | $1 | |
| 3mo | beenraping | No / 99.5¢ | +200.00 | $199 | |
| 3mo | 0xd543...9818ee | Yes / 0.5¢ | +399.92 | $2 | |
| 3mo | beenraping | No / 99.5¢ | +400.00 | $398 | |
| 3mo | repsol | No / 99.9¢ | +4.22 | $4.22 | |
| 3mo | 0x405809651DaE4E0556E8F3740B1e16A7DF2D35b5-1768388246454 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +4.22 | $0 | |
| 3mo | letsgo33 | Yes / 0.2¢ | +73.57 | $0.15 | |
| 3mo | 0x41F0AA18c7993751fd4330f9612F593A4C4630BF-1777223995011 | Yes / 0.2¢ | -73.57 | $0.14 | |
| 3mo | 0x2be0...726dee | No / 99.2¢ | -5.01 | $4.97 | |
| 3mo | beenraping | No / 99.2¢ | +5.01 | $4.97 | |
| 3mo | letsgo33 | Yes / 0.2¢ | +29.24 | $0.06 | |
| 3mo | SweetChariot | No / 99.8¢ | +29.24 | $29.2 | |
| 3mo | LetTheGoodTimesRoll | Yes / 0.6¢ | +10.00 | $0.06 | |
| 3mo | MattiBianchi08. | No / 99.5¢ | -4,370.29 | $4.35K | |
| 3mo | letsgo33 | Yes / 0.2¢ | +15.08 | $0.03 | |
| 3mo | letsgo33 | Yes / 0.7¢ | +25.86 | $0.18 | |
| 3mo | letsgo33 | Yes / 0.6¢ | +111.71 | $0.67 | |
| 3mo | beenraping | No / 99.5¢ | +4,622.12 | $4.6K | |
| 3mo | LetTheGoodTimesRoll | Yes / 0.2¢ | +10.00 | $0.02 | |
| 3mo | daroghi | No / 99.3¢ | -60.00 | $59.6 |
1–25
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Yes 92%$0volume
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?
No 81%$0volume
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
No 92%$0volume
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $0.70T on July 31?
No 66%$0volume
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?
No 97%$0volume
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.80T and $0.90T on July 31?
No 99%$0volume