
Volume
$317K
Txns
723
Traders
170
Fees
$0
Ends
Jan 31, 2026
If the 12th SpaceX Starship successfully launches from its launch pad by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.
Trades
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
Yes 95%$2.41Mvolume
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?
Yes 56%$1.56Mvolume
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?
No 97%$1.9Mvolume
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?
Yes 99%$1.97Mvolume
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T
No 100%$2.81Mvolume
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?
No 98%$1.3Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5mo | speed124 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | speed124 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | jesterthegoose | No / 99.9¢ | +15.00 | $15 | |
| 5mo | speed124 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | Polyfirefly | Yes / 0.1¢ | +51.82 | $0.05 | |
| 5mo | tailevent | Yes / 0.1¢ | +600.00 | $0.6 | |
| 5mo | noreasapa | No / 99.9¢ | +12,188.26 | $12.2K | |
| 5mo | Evador | Yes / 0.1¢ | +40.00 | $0.04 | |
| 5mo | 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-0717159345256 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +6.00 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | anonguy | No / 99.9¢ | -51.14 | $51.1 | |
| 5mo | yangguang0511 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 5mo | 0xf8b7...2114de | Yes / 0.1¢ | +76.00 | $0.08 | |
| 5mo | 0xe9b4...42f03a | Yes / 0.1¢ | +21.43 | $0.02 | |
| 5mo | 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-0717159345256 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | DeverNoom | No / 99.9¢ | -456.87 | $456 | |
| 5mo | Iamfine109 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5,000.00 | $5 | |
| 5mo | AsuraSmellsLikeASS | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +440.00 | $0.44 | |
| 5mo | LukeDelta | Yes / 0.1¢ | +2,000.00 | $2 | |
| 5mo | 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-0717159345256 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | 0x4018...7dd14a | Yes / 0.1¢ | +247.00 | $0.25 | |
| 5mo | 0x161f...28b075 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +135.00 | $0.14 | |
| 5mo | 0xe8d0E6f73B49Ef07078562dB4b12974EEf365542-1722338495689 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +14.00 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | speed124 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | 0xe8d0E6f73B49Ef07078562dB4b12974EEf365542-1722338495689 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +14.00 | $0.01 |
1–25