
Volume
$5K
Txns
163
Traders
56
Fees
$0
Ends
Jan 31, 2026
If the 12th SpaceX Starship successfully launches from its launch pad by April 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.
Trades
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
Yes 75%$1.58Mvolume
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?
No 67%$1.37Mvolume
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?
Yes 90%$1.47Mvolume
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T
No 93%$2.47Mvolume
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?
Yes 57%$855Kvolume
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?
No 76%$986Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2mo | Anne666 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -109.08 | $0.11 | |
| 2mo | Hull | No / 99.9¢ | -109.08 | $109 | |
| 2mo | Xyk001 | No / 99.9¢ | -1.00 | $1 | |
| 2mo | Anne666 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1.00 | $0 | |
| 2mo | jjzzh | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 2mo | Anne666 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +110.08 | $0.11 | |
| 2mo | TENETENET | Yes / 0.1¢ | +84.06 | $0.08 | |
| 2mo | rikitikitaki | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 2mo | 0x2B2c649e99aC192be99Ff9b772978F953c48c537-1774900832224 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -204.14 | $0.2 | |
| 2mo | TENETENET | Yes / 0.1¢ | +68.00 | $0.07 | |
| 2mo | AlloraNetwork | No / 99.9¢ | +68.00 | $67.9 | |
| 2mo | BMIo70 | No / 99.9¢ | +73.00 | $72.9 | |
| 2mo | TENETENET | Yes / 0.1¢ | +73.00 | $0.07 | |
| 2mo | Lindsxy | No / 99.4¢ | -5.46 | $5.43 | |
| 2mo | rx8549o867549 | Yes / 0.6¢ | -5.46 | $0.03 | |
| 2mo | Lindsxy | No / 99.9¢ | +6.52 | $6.51 | |
| 2mo | TENETENET | Yes / 0.1¢ | +6.52 | $0.01 | |
| 2mo | TENETENET | Yes / 0.1¢ | +68.87 | $0.07 | |
| 2mo | PlayDoge | No / 99.9¢ | +68.87 | $68.8 | |
| 2mo | TENETENET | Yes / 0.1¢ | +62.97 | $0.06 | |
| 2mo | Mantle | No / 99.9¢ | +62.97 | $62.9 | |
| 2mo | SpicyFoodie11927 | No / 99.4¢ | -9.13 | $9.08 | |
| 2mo | rx8549o867549 | Yes / 0.6¢ | -9.13 | $0.05 | |
| 2mo | TENETENET | Yes / 0.1¢ | +65.07 | $0.07 | |
| 2mo | UTXO | No / 99.9¢ | +65.07 | $65 |
1–25