Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11 launch by September 30?
ResolvedVolume
$28K
Txns
598
Traders
101
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2025
Volume
$28K
Txns
598
Traders
101
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2025
If the 11th SpaceX Starship successfully launches from its launch pad by September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.
Trades
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
Yes 80%$1.63Mvolume
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?
No 64%$1.41Mvolume
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?
Yes 91%$1.5Mvolume
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T
No 92%$2.52Mvolume
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?
Yes 56%$898Kvolume
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T?
No 99%$667Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8mo | Evador | Yes / 0.1¢ | +18.50 | $0.02 | |
| 8mo | Debosnys | No / 99.9¢ | +238.45 | $238 | |
| 8mo | Evador | Yes / 0.1¢ | +33.91 | $0.03 | |
| 8mo | Evador | Yes / 0.1¢ | +169.09 | $0.17 | |
| 8mo | Evador | Yes / 0.1¢ | +16.95 | $0.02 | |
| 8mo | Debosnys | No / 99.8¢ | +3.47 | $3.46 | |
| 8mo | Evador | Yes / 0.2¢ | +3.47 | $0.01 | |
| 8mo | wat3r | No / 99.8¢ | +5.00 | $4.99 | |
| 8mo | Evador | Yes / 0.2¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 8mo | Evador | Yes / 0.2¢ | +16.95 | $0.03 | |
| 8mo | AgricultureSecretary | No / 99.8¢ | +16.95 | $16.9 | |
| 8mo | 0x756d...0075e6 | No / 99.9¢ | +9.91 | $9.9 | |
| 8mo | Evador | Yes / 0.1¢ | +9.91 | $0.01 | |
| 8mo | 0x756d...0075e6 | No / 99.9¢ | +9.91 | $9.9 | |
| 8mo | Evador | Yes / 0.1¢ | +9.91 | $0.01 | |
| 8mo | 0x756d...0075e6 | No / 99.9¢ | +9.91 | $9.9 | |
| 8mo | Evador | Yes / 0.1¢ | +9.91 | $0.01 | |
| 8mo | 0x756d...0075e6 | No / 99.9¢ | +9.91 | $9.9 | |
| 8mo | Evador | Yes / 0.1¢ | +9.91 | $0.01 | |
| 8mo | Evador | Yes / 0.1¢ | +9.91 | $0.01 | |
| 8mo | 0x756d...0075e6 | No / 99.9¢ | +9.91 | $9.9 | |
| 8mo | 0x756d...0075e6 | No / 99.9¢ | +9.91 | $9.9 | |
| 8mo | Evador | Yes / 0.1¢ | +9.91 | $0.01 | |
| 8mo | Evador | Yes / 0.1¢ | +9.91 | $0.01 | |
| 8mo | 0x756d...0075e6 | No / 99.9¢ | +9.91 | $9.9 |
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