
Volume
$346
Txns
11
Traders
9
Fees
$0
Ends
May 15, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Situational Awareness LP's next filed 13F-HR filing with the SEC reporting holdings as of March 31, 2026 includes a long position in the specified stock that did not appear in the immediately preceding 13F-HR filing submitted by Situational Awareness LP. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "new position" refers to a position appearing in the relevant 13F-HR filing that did not appear in the immediately preceding 13F-HR filing submitted by Situational Awareness LP. A position that was not disclosed in the immediately preceding 13F-HR filing for any reason, including confidential treatment, will be considered a new position if it appears in the relevant 13F-HR filing. Long common stock holdings and long call option positions in the specified stock reported in the relevant 13F-HR filing will qualify. Short positions, put option positions, and other bearish positions will not qualify. The relevant filing for this market is the 13F-HR filing reflecting holdings as of March 31, 2026. Amendments (13F-HR/A) filed after the initial 13F-HR submission will not be considered. The standard SEC filing deadline for this report is May 15, 2026. If Situational Awareness LP does not file the relevant 13F-HR with the SEC by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Situational Awareness LP's SEC EDGAR filing page (https://www.sec.gov/edgar/browse/?CIK=2045724).
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | .Menthe | Yes / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 1d | triklozoid | Yes / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 1d | TENETENET | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 1d | 0xE39783F92EE0985f1aB5fe514030f946825abFCb-1763008583582 | No / 99.9¢ | +200.00 | $200 | |
| 1d | pootytherewardfarmer | Yes / 4.0¢ | +44.00 | $1.76 | |
| 1d | 0xc10b...be96d5 | Yes / 5.0¢ | +40.00 | $2 | |
| 1d | 0xE39783F92EE0985f1aB5fe514030f946825abFCb-1763008583582 | No / 96.9¢ | +146.13 | $142 | |
| 1d | cristinathearena | Yes / 2.0¢ | +17.85 | $0.36 | |
| 1d | 0x26AA6eEC2CCF20f53Bd0C8810c11B8dF9e079d4d-1776735614449 | Yes / 1.0¢ | +5.00 | $0.05 | |
| 1d | cristinathearena | Yes / 1.0¢ | +34.28 | $0.34 | |
| 1d | rocketcrypto | Yes / 1.0¢ | +5.00 | $0.05 |
1–11
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?
Yes 100%$581Kvolume
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
No 100%$415Kvolume
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
No 100%$511Kvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Yes 95%$915Kvolume
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
No 99%$532Kvolume
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Yes 97%$1.1Mvolume