
Volume
$272K
Txns
2,448
Traders
442
Fees
$0
Ends
Sep 30, 2025
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the Siversk railroad station located off of Zaliznychna Vulytsia by September 30, 2025 at 11:59 PM ET. The railroad station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”. Once Russia captures the railroad station, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market. If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of if it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established. Train Station Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/siversk+train+station.jpeg Siversk Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/siversk+location.jpeg Location on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/WCVn7wGSy1i289Nw8 The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10mo | nedsta | No / 99.9¢ | -987.98 | $987 | |
| 10mo | revmeatsandwich | Yes / 0.1¢ | -987.98 | $0.99 | |
| 10mo | nedsta | No / 99.9¢ | -12.01 | $12 | |
| 10mo | rabbitoc | No / 99.9¢ | +12.01 | $12 | |
| 10mo | Skovorodnikov | No / 99.5¢ | -203.60 | $203 | |
| 10mo | 7and1 | Yes / 0.5¢ | -26.93 | $0.13 | |
| 10mo | simulacrum3 | Yes / 0.5¢ | -176.67 | $0.88 | |
| 10mo | brookswilliam | No / 99.8¢ | +1.28 | $1.28 | |
| 10mo | Skovorodnikov | No / 99.8¢ | -1.28 | $1.28 | |
| 10mo | 0x64908493973FEE3031cEBc63F5e531824B76B065-1743254369315 | No / 99.5¢ | -8.17 | $8.13 | |
| 10mo | 7and1 | Yes / 0.5¢ | -8.17 | $0.04 | |
| 10mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +0.36 | $0 | |
| 10mo | simulacrum3 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -323.32 | $0.32 | |
| 10mo | Skovorodnikov | No / 99.9¢ | -322.96 | $323 | |
| 10mo | 7and1 | Yes / 0.5¢ | -464.90 | $2.32 | |
| 10mo | 7and1 | Yes / 0.3¢ | -11.66 | $0.03 | |
| 10mo | 7and1 | Yes / 0.5¢ | -276.85 | $1.38 | |
| 10mo | LpBoar | No / 99.5¢ | -1,253.41 | $1.25K | |
| 10mo | 7and1 | Yes / 0.4¢ | -500.00 | $2 | |
| 10mo | 7and1 | Yes / 0.3¢ | -155.00 | $0.47 | |
| 10mo | parfaitparfait | No / 99.7¢ | -155.00 | $155 | |
| 10mo | xiaoxiang | No / 99.9¢ | +25.03 | $25 | |
| 10mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.64 | $0.01 | |
| 10mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +8.39 | $0.01 | |
| 10mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +11.00 | $0.01 |
1–25
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?
No 92%$0volume
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
Yes 92%$0volume
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?
Yes 86%$0volume
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?
Yes 69%$0volume
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?
No 93%$0volume
Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?
No 86%$0volume