Will Rafael Nadal win the 2022 US Open?

The 142nd 2022 US Open is the upcoming fourth and final Grand Slam event of the year. It will be held on outdoor hard courts at the USTA Billie Jean King National Tennis Center in New York City, from August 29 to September 11 2022. The market will resolve to “Yes” if Rafael Nadal wins the 2022 US Open Men's Singles tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If at any point it can be definitively determined based on the rules of the tournament that Rafael Nadal is not the winner (e.g. Nadal is eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No." If the 2022 US Open does not end by September 18, 2022 (11 PM ET), this market will resolve to 50-50.