
Volume
$2M
Txns
38,879
Traders
3,441
Fees
$752
Liquidity
$21,785
Ends
Jul 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) before Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If neither occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count. The resolution source for the release of GTA VI is official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive. An announcement of Trump's resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election will not alone qualify. Territory under the administration of the Republic of China including any inhabited islands will qualify, however uninhabited islands will not qualify. The resolution source for China invading Taiwan will be will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be use
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24m | yanaty56 | Yes / 51.0¢ | +1.96 | $1.02 | |
| 24m | PaddyAlpha | Yes / 51.0¢ | -1.96 | $1 | |
| 25m | jeanh211 | Yes / 48.8¢ | -5.38 | $2.62 | |
| 25m | J-E-R | Yes / 50.0¢ | +5.38 | $2.69 | |
| 27m | PaddyAlpha | Yes / 51.0¢ | -5.38 | $2.74 | |
| 27m | jeanh211 | Yes / 51.0¢ | +5.38 | $2.81 | |
| 28m | PaddyAlpha | Yes / 51.0¢ | -1.96 | $1 | |
| 28m | yanaty56 | Yes / 51.0¢ | +1.96 | $1.02 | |
| 28m | jeanh211 | Yes / 48.8¢ | -5.56 | $2.71 | |
| 28m | J-E-R | Yes / 50.0¢ | +5.56 | $2.78 | |
| 31m | jeanh211 | Yes / 51.0¢ | +5.56 | $2.91 | |
| 31m | PaddyAlpha | Yes / 51.0¢ | -5.56 | $2.84 | |
| 52m | 0xAa1be42af384e593202D145FBF1AD7024a422F44-1759460418291 | No / 47.8¢ | -2.00 | $0.96 | |
| 52m | PaddyAlpha | Yes / 51.0¢ | -2.00 | $1.02 | |
| 1h | yanaty56 | Yes / 51.0¢ | +1.96 | $1.02 | |
| 1h | PaddyAlpha | Yes / 51.0¢ | -1.96 | $1 | |
| 1h | GGXXK | No / 50.0¢ | +9.00 | $4.61 | |
| 1h | J-E-R | Yes / 50.0¢ | +9.00 | $4.5 | |
| 5h | vcme3 | No / 47.8¢ | -16.00 | $7.64 | |
| 5h | PaddyAlpha | Yes / 51.0¢ | -16.00 | $8.16 | |
| 6h | PaddyAlpha | Yes / 51.0¢ | -2.04 | $1.04 | |
| 6h | rayfound | No / 47.8¢ | -2.04 | $0.97 | |
| 8h | yanaty56 | Yes / 51.0¢ | +1.96 | $1.02 | |
| 8h | PaddyAlpha | Yes / 51.0¢ | -1.96 | $1 | |
| 8h | J-E-R | Yes / 50.0¢ | +5.00 | $2.5 |
1–25
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
No 51%$12.1Mvolume
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?
Yes 50%$859Kvolume
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
No 49%$4.59Mvolume
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?
Yes 51%$782Kvolume
Trump out as President before GTA VI?
Yes 51%$680Kvolume
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?
Yes 54%$693Kvolume