
Volume
$40K
Txns
1,074
Traders
220
Fees
$0
Ends
—
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI publicly announces and launches a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "consumer hardware product" is defined as a physical device intended for direct use by individual consumers, rather than enterprise or developer tools. The product must be newly introduced and not a rebrand, update, or iteration of any previously released device. Examples that would qualify include an AI-powered wearable, smart home assistant, or augmented reality device. Developer tools, AI chips, or servers marketed exclusively for enterprise use would not qualify. The resolution source will be official information from OpenAI.
Trades
1–25
GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?
No 100%$0volume
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Yes 71%$0volume
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?
No 94%$0volume
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?
No 96%$0volume
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?
Yes 99%$0volume
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?
No 55%$0volume