
Volume
$3M
Txns
2,107
Traders
248
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2023
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for 2023 shows an increase of 1.03°C or greater when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An anomaly of 1.03°C or greater for 2023 will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether prior years' figures are revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "Land-Ocean Temperature Index (C)" under the column "No_Smoothing" in the row "2023" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs/graph_data/Global_Mean_Estimates_based_on_Land_and_Ocean_Data/graph.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for 2023 is provided by NASA by March 1, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
Trades
Will the SpaceX Starship launch from Florida by December 31, 2026?
No 45%$0volume
Trump goes to space in 2026?
No 98%$0volume
5kt meteor strike in 2026?
No 71%$0volume
Will Jessica Watkins be chosen for the Artemis III mission?
No 100%$0volume
Will Boeing Starliner successfully return to Earth?
Yes 100%$0volume
Nothing Ever Happens: Natural Disaster Edition
Yes 100%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2y | completion | No / 0.1¢ | -999.99 | $1 | |
| 2y | 50Whence | Yes / 99.9¢ | -999.99 | $999 | |
| 2y | rashad94 | No / 25.0¢ | -0.08 | $0.02 | |
| 2y | Stol | No / 1.0¢ | -498.00 | $4.98 | |
| 2y | Vandal | No / 1.0¢ | +498.08 | $5 | |
| 2y | dylanreal | Yes / 99.0¢ | -0.50 | $0.49 | |
| 2y | Stol | No / 1.0¢ | -0.50 | $0.01 | |
| 2y | dylanreal | Yes / 99.0¢ | -1.50 | $1.49 | |
| 2y | Stol | No / 1.0¢ | -1.50 | $0.01 | |
| 2y | Stol | No / 1.0¢ | -491.00 | $4.91 | |
| 2y | Whataretheodds | Yes / 99.1¢ | +10.00 | $9.91 | |
| 2y | tmslc24 | No / 1.0¢ | +501.00 | $5 | |
| 2y | Davido | No / 0.5¢ | +10.00 | $0.05 | |
| 2y | StonedAway | Yes / 99.5¢ | +10.00 | $9.95 | |
| 2y | fhantombets | Yes / 99.4¢ | -7,410.80 | $7.37K | |
| 2y | StonedAway | Yes / 99.5¢ | -2,701.90 | $2.69K | |
| 2y | chilling | Yes / 99.4¢ | +10,112.70 | $10.1K | |
| 2y | Alexxxiis | No / 1.4¢ | -14.82 | $0.21 | |
| 2y | 50Whence | Yes / 98.7¢ | +15.00 | $14.8 | |
| 2y | Office Lover | Yes / 98.7¢ | -29.82 | $29.4 | |
| 2y | 50Whence | Yes / 98.8¢ | +83.33 | $82.3 | |
| 2y | Bil-803 | No / 1.2¢ | +83.33 | $1 | |
| 2y | Stol | No / 0.9¢ | -59.80 | $0.54 | |
| 2y | 50Whence | Yes / 99.1¢ | -59.80 | $59.3 | |
| 2y | 50Whence | Yes / 98.8¢ | -200.00 | $198 |
1–25