Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in March?
ResolvedVolume
$33K
Txns
1,109
Traders
277
Fees
$0
Ends
Apr 10, 2025
Volume
$33K
Txns
1,109
Traders
277
Fees
$0
Ends
Apr 10, 2025
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). This market will resolve to the number the one-month seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased in March 2025 according to the monthly BLS report. The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for March 2025 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on April 10, 2025, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which reports to the one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Trades
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Yes 99%$20Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$8.12Mvolume
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$6.6Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$10.7Mvolume
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?
Yes 100%$406Kvolume
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$285Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | JDULIA | No / 99.9¢ | -13.18 | $13.2 | |
| 1y | m20241223 | No / 99.9¢ | +13.18 | $13.2 | |
| 1y | m20241223 | No / 99.9¢ | +50.00 | $50 | |
| 1y | qwertzu | Yes / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 1y | tob800 | Yes / 0.4¢ | +28.99 | $0.12 | |
| 1y | oVyg7f | Yes / 0.4¢ | -28.99 | $0.12 | |
| 1y | oVyg7f | Yes / 0.5¢ | -12.81 | $0.06 | |
| 1y | oVyg7f | Yes / 1.0¢ | -5.00 | $0.05 | |
| 1y | uriidmitrych | No / 99.0¢ | -5.00 | $4.95 | |
| 1y | uriidmitrych | No / 99.0¢ | -5.00 | $4.95 | |
| 1y | JDULIA | No / 99.5¢ | -12.81 | $12.7 | |
| 1y | AgricultureSecretary | No / 99.0¢ | +5.00 | $4.95 | |
| 1y | lihpare | No / 97.4¢ | +26.94 | $26.2 | |
| 1y | oVyg7f | Yes / 2.6¢ | +26.94 | $0.7 | |
| 1y | oVyg7f | Yes / 2.3¢ | +14.86 | $0.34 | |
| 1y | lihpare | No / 97.7¢ | +14.86 | $14.5 | |
| 1y | JDULIA | No / 98.4¢ | +21.00 | $20.7 | |
| 1y | uriidmitrych | No / 98.3¢ | +10.00 | $9.83 | |
| 1y | mysticmac | Yes / 1.6¢ | +31.00 | $0.51 | |
| 1y | niu1 | No / 99.6¢ | +1.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | tob800 | Yes / 0.4¢ | +1.00 | $0 | |
| 1y | oVyg7f | Yes / 2.2¢ | +5.00 | $0.11 | |
| 1y | JDULIA | No / 97.8¢ | +5.00 | $4.89 | |
| 1y | daroghi | Yes / 1.1¢ | -100.00 | $1.1 | |
| 1y | Eiger | No / 98.8¢ | +57.00 | $56.3 |
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