
Volume
$42K
Txns
673
Traders
171
Fees
$5
Ends
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) for any amount of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market. If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29d | iutwpfal | No / 99.9¢ | +100.82 | $101 | |
| 29d | Wojtek | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.82 | $0.1 | |
| 29d | rpontici | No / 99.9¢ | +1,295.00 | $1.29K | |
| 29d | Wojtek | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,295.00 | $1.29 | |
| 29d | rpontici | No / 99.9¢ | +1,500.00 | $1.5K | |
| 29d | Wojtek | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,500.00 | $1.5 | |
| 29d | Olka | Yes / 0.1¢ | -104.18 | $0.1 | |
| 29d | Wojtek | Yes / 0.1¢ | +104.18 | $0.1 | |
| 1mo | JamesBonder007 | No / 99.8¢ | +8.14 | $8.12 | |
| 1mo | 0x6ffd...82cdbc | Yes / 0.2¢ | +8.14 | $0.02 | |
| 1mo | 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44. | Yes / 0.2¢ | +90.48 | $0.18 | |
| 1mo | 0x8dc4...195c9a | Yes / 0.2¢ | +9.52 | $0.02 | |
| 1mo | JamesBonder007 | No / 99.8¢ | +100.00 | $99.8 | |
| 1mo | 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44. | Yes / 0.2¢ | +9.52 | $0.02 | |
| 1mo | RONALDOASET | Yes / 0.2¢ | -9.52 | $0.02 | |
| 1mo | akunai | Yes / 0.2¢ | +100.00 | $0.2 | |
| 1mo | ma99 | Yes / 0.2¢ | +100.00 | $0.2 | |
| 1mo | 0x8931...f3a90c | No / 99.8¢ | +200.00 | $200 | |
| 1mo | Wojtek | Yes / 0.2¢ | +2,000.00 | $4 | |
| 1mo | 0x8931...f3a90c | No / 99.8¢ | +2,000.00 | $2K | |
| 1mo | Biver52 | Yes / 0.3¢ | +100.00 | $0.3 | |
| 1mo | 0x8931...f3a90c | No / 99.7¢ | +100.00 | $99.7 | |
| 1mo | mehanizator | Yes / 0.6¢ | -340.00 | $2.04 | |
| 1mo | Olka | Yes / 0.7¢ | -667.82 | $4.67 | |
| 1mo | Anomymous | No / 99.3¢ | -1,365.08 | $1.36K |
1–25
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31…
No 96%$0volume
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Yes 95%$0volume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Yes 100%$0volume
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on…
Yes 93%$0volume
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?
No 97%$0volume
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
No 93%$0volume