Will Martin Schmierer win the 2026 Norfolk Police and Crime Commissioner by-election?

A by-election for the Police and Crime Commissioner of the Norfolk Police Area is currently scheduled to be held on July 16, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Norfolk Police and Crime Commissioner by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by the Police & Crime Commissioner for Norfolk (https://www.norfolk-pcc.gov.uk/) and the Broadland District Council (https://www.southnorfolkandbroadland.gov.uk/).