Will Dan Quesnel  win the 2026 Pas-Kameesak Manitoba Legislative Assembly by-election?

A by-election for the Manitoba Legislative Assembly District The Pas-Kameesak is currently scheduled to be held on July 21, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Pas-Kameesak Manitoba Legislative Assembly by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Manitoba (https://www.electionsmanitoba.ca/).