
Volume
$413K
Txns
1,589
Traders
337
Fees
$0
Ends
Jan 9, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Ali Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In cases where Ali Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Ali Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes". If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Ali Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
No 100%$0volume
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?
No 66%$0volume
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?
Yes 100%$0volume
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
No 91%$0volume
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?
Yes 100%$0volume
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
No 61%$0volume
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