
Volume
$5,316
Txns
116
Traders
33
Fees
$28
Liquidity
$9,976
Ends
—
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
1–25
Will Gavin Newsom be arrested before 2027?
No 92% · $8.95K volume
Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?
No 87% · $6.64K volume
Will Hillary Clinton be arrested before 2027?
No 92% · $4.99K volume
James Comey mugshot released by May 5?
No 99% · $38.9K volume
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?
No 93% · $96K volume
Will James Comey leave the country by May 15?
No 100% · $43.5K volume